Direct and indirect effects of climate and fishing on changes in coastal ecosystem services: a historical perspective from the North Sea

• DOI: 10.1007/s10113-014-0635-7
• Publication Date: 2014-06-02T14:30:37Z
• Authors: Samiya A. Selim; Julia L. Blanchard; Jacob Bedford; Thomas J. Webb
• Keywords: Marine ecosystem

Humanity depends on the marine environment for a range of vital ecosystem services, at global (e.g. climate regulation), regional commercial fisheries) and local scales coastal defence recreation). At same time, ecosystems have been exploited centuries, many systems today are under stress from multiple sources. Recent studies shown how both change fishing caused long-term changes in environment. However, there is still poor understanding these influence services. In this paper, an integrated modelling approach used to assess final delivery services communities influenced by direct indirect effects processes brought about human impacts, using fisheries North Sea region as case study. Partial least squares path analysis explore relationships between drivers change, (landings). A simple conceptual model with four variables—climate, effort, process services—is applied English historic ecological, climatic time series spanning 1924–2010 identify pathways that might exist. As expected, links service provision were significant. weak. This paper highlights can be analysing temporal following simplified pathway.