Migration Amidst Conflict and Cumulative Causation: An Analysis of International & Domestic Migration in Thailand’s Southernmost Provinces

• DOI: 10.1007/s11113-025-09937-3
• Publication Date: 2025-02-12T03:47:25Z
• Authors: Kim Korinek; Yothin Sawangdee; Tawanchai Jirapra...; Aree Jampaklay
• Keywords: Human migration; Forced migration; Internal migration

Abstract Thailand’s southernmost provinces (TSP) have experienced prolonged insurgency violence and economic deprivation, leading to substantial outmigration. Examining how the two factors interact shape migration decision-making will provide a broader understanding of they influence in other regions. In this study, we hypothesize that: (1) Residents TSP be more likely migrate out their province if reside households villages that are replete with migrant social networks, (2) The experience one’s proximity an association migration, (3) Migration networks at household village levels first trips. We analyze data from survey conducted among representative sample Muslim adult population residing 2014, follow-up 2016. Householdand community-level variables included information on international domestic cumulative context, events, individual- household-level covariates. Generalized structural equation models indicate likelihood outmigration is greater adults already accumulated experience. also those living impacted by frequent incidents. findings suggest underpinned combination processes violence. As rising segments world’s undertake both flee survive economically, it becomes increasingly important develop theories address human security concerns.