Understanding Evacuation Behavior During Cyclones: Evidence from Bangladesh

• DOI: 10.1007/s41885-024-00157-1
• Publication Date: 2024-08-03T05:02:07Z
• Authors: Mohammad Asif Has...; Pallab Mozumder; Nafisa Halim; Sisi Meng
• Keywords: 0211 other engineering and technologies; 02 engineering and technology

Abstract Due to its unique location, Bangladesh often faces devastating hydroclimatic shocks such as floods and cyclones. In the recent past, three major cyclones (Sidr in 2007, Aila 2009, Komen 2015) claimed 3800 lives damaged hundreds of thousands houses with billions dollars property damages. this paper, we focus on understanding people's evacuation behaviors face approaching using survey data collected through face-to-face interviews residents living coastal areas Bangladesh. Through various statistical models, including probit, panel bivariate multinomial logit have explored determinants both past future decisions, well choice destinations. Our findings reveal consistent patterns across different cyclone events, highlighting significant roles played by warning time, proximity coast, loss, shelter accessibility, housing structure, literacy, experiences, demographic factors age, gender, employment status. Additionally, analysis destinations uncovers nuanced insights into preferences challenges faced evacuees, need for improving accessibility. With rising vulnerabilities worldwide, identifying what drives households' decisions their destination choices can provide useful inputs planning effective disaster management.