Implications of water abstraction on the interconnected Central Rift Valley Lakes sub-basin of Ethiopia using WEAP

Physical geography UT-Gold-D 0208 environmental biotechnology Water demand 02 engineering and technology models environmental flows stream flow water resources development WEAP, water resources development 2. Zero hunger QE1-996.5 Geology 15. Life on land 6. Clean water water extraction GB3-5030 Central Rift Valley water demand 13. Climate action ITC-ISI-JOURNAL-ARTICLE Ethiopia ITC-GOLD SDG 6 - Clean Water and Sanitation Water abstraction
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100969 Publication Date: 2021-11-20T22:04:38Z
ABSTRACT
Study region: Central Rift Valley Lakes sub-basin, Ethiopia. Study focus: The competition for water is rapidly increasing in Central Rift Valley lakes sub-basin due to the combined effect of various water resources developments. However, the impacts of recent and future water resources development pathways on the water balance of the three interconnected lakes (i.e. Lake Ziway, Langano and Abiyata) are unknown. The Water Evaluation And Planning (WEAP) model was used to assess the development impacts on water resources of the interconnected lakes. We considered three development pathways that are, recent (2009–2018), short-term (2019–2028) and long-term development (2029–2038). Lake Ziway water inflows from six catchments were estimated using the Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV) rainfall-runoff model. Crop water requirements for irrigation schemes were estimated by the CROPWAT model. New hydrological insights for the region: WEAP simulations show a total water demand of 102.3 Mm3 under the recent development pathway that increases by 46% and 118% for short-term and long-term development pathways, respectively. This will notably affect the water balance of the interconnected lakes and cause an unmet water demand of 47.9 Mm3 for the long-term (2028–2038). For Lake Ziway and Abiyata, water levels will decrease substantially to cause water scarcity in the long-term, and developments in Lake Ziway will significantly affect water storage in Lake Abiyata storages in Lake Abiyata. Overall, future developments will threaten the water resource of the interconnected lake system.
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