Water demand forecasting and countermeasures across the Yellow River basin: Analysis from the perspective of water resources carrying capacity

• DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101148
• Publication Date: 2022-06-22T17:02:11Z
• Authors: Lishuo Guo; Wenbin Zhu; Jiaxing Wei; Lifang Wang
• Keywords: Water use; Water security; Carrying Capacity; Water Efficiency

The Yellow River Basin plays a crucial role in China's socio-economic development and ecological security. growing trend of water consumption driven by anthropogenic activities has posed an increasing number challenges for the sustainable basin. Water demand prediction central part facilitating conservation developing allocation strategies. Hence, model based on concept resources carrying capacity was built to predict with different future scenarios provide reference strategies allocation. With all changing under consideration, will significantly increase compared current conditions. range each province along basin is exhibited this study. Two economic conditions cascading use efficiency are investigated. In addition, solutions improving available quantity put forward ameliorate stress. Specifically, distribution schemes medium level growth proposed from South-to-North Diversion Project. This work benefit local planners decision-makers.