The role of residential air circulation and cooling demand for electrification planning: Implications of climate change in sub-Saharan Africa

• DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105307
• Publication Date: 2021-04-29T07:09:11Z
• Authors: Giacomo Falchetta; Malcolm N. Mistry
• Keywords: Baseline (sea); Investment; Energy Poverty

Nearly 1 billion people live without electricity at home. Energy poverty limits their ability to take autonomous actions improve air circulation and the cooling of homes. It is therefore important that electricity-access planners explicitly evaluate current future needs energy-poor households, in addition other basic energy needs. To address this issue, we combine climate, socio-economic, demographic satellite data with scenario analysis model spatially explicit estimates potential demand from households currently lack access electricity. We link these factors into a bottom-up electrification for sub-Saharan Africa, region world's highest concentration poverty. Accounting on top baseline household implies average investment requirements grow robustly (a mean 65.5% more than when considering only), mostly due larger generation capacity needed. Future climate change could increase by an additional 4%. Moreover, share decentralised systems as lowest-cost option falls 4.5 percentage points all new connections. The crucial determinants efficient pathways are adoption use appliances, extent change, demand. Our results call consideration climate-adaptative infrastructure developing countries.