Mood seasonality: Evidence from the Chinese A-share market

0502 economics and business 05 social sciences
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102232 Publication Date: 2021-06-18T03:02:32Z
ABSTRACT
Abstract Seasonality is typical in the stock market, and a specific month reflects investors' mood. During the same calendar months, the cross-sectional stocks' better or worse performance relative to other stocks in specific months signifies investor mood seasonality. Using the Chinese A-share market's monthly data from 1999 to 2019, we find that the mood seasonality effect is significant. Besides, there is a positive relationship between mood beta and stock return during a congruent mood period. Moreover, the investment strategy can obtain a significantly positive average return based on February's mood beta.
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