Hedging as an adaptive measure for climate change induced water shortage at the Pong reservoir in the Indus Basin Beas River, India

• DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.06.021
• Publication Date: 2019-06-05T05:46:24Z
• Authors: Adebayo J. Adeloye; Quan V. Dau
• Keywords: Vulnerability; Inflow; Indus

This study investigated the adaptive capacity of static and dynamic hedging operating policies to shore up performance, i.e. reliability vulnerability, in irrigation water supply Pong reservoir India, during climate change. The were developed using genetic algorithm optimisation used force simulations for different change perturbed inflow series, whence derive performance. For hedging, fraction remains constant throughout year while this varies monthly or seasonally. Results showed that was effective at tempering systems vulnerability from its high ≥60% lower than 25%, maintaining an acceptable volume-based reliability. Further with provided only modest improvements these two indices. significance is demonstration effectiveness as a adaptation measure by limiting shortage impacts. It also demonstrates simple can match more complex policies.