Mathematical modelling of the 100-day target for vaccine availability after the detection of a novel pathogen: A case study in Indonesia

• DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126163
• Publication Date: 2024-07-26T11:36:00Z
• Authors: Gizem Mayis Bilgin; Syarifah Liza Munira; Kamalini Lokuge; Kathryn Glass
• Keywords: Pandemic; Preparedness; Vaccine efficacy

Globally, there has been a commitment to produce and distribute vaccine within 100 days of the next pandemic. This 100-day target will place pressure on countries make swift decisions how optimise delivery. We used data from COVID-19 pandemic inform mathematical modelling future pandemics in Indonesia for wide range characteristics. explored benefits vaccination programs with different start dates, rollout capacity, age-specific prioritisation year detection novel pathogen. Early availability, public uptake vaccines, capacity consistent delivery were key factors influencing benefit. Monitoring severity be essential optimising Our study complements existing pathogen-specific preparedness plans contributes tool rapid assessment threats similar middle-income countries.