Moving toward rice self-sufficiency in sub-Saharan Africa by 2030: Lessons learned from 10 years of the Coalition for African Rice Development

• DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2021.100291
• Publication Date: 2021-01-22T10:40:47Z
• Authors: Aminou Arouna; Irene Akoko Fatognon; Kazuki Saito; Koichi Futakuchi
• Keywords: Self-sufficiency

The Coalition for African Rice Development (CARD) was initiated as a policy framework with the aim of doubling rice production in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) over period from 2008 to 2018. This paper assesses contribution CARD and forecasts local supply demand provide better understanding policies needed attain self-sufficiency by 2030. A combination autoregressive integrated moving average method counterfactual approach adopted using statistical data 23 countries SSA. results showed that paddy 2018 10.2 million tons, equivalent 74% target. resulted increases area yield 23% 19%, respectively. However, growth rate not sustainable almost two-thirds countries. Investments supply-push factors such fertilizer irrigation development, which were focus past, have limited effects on production. We conclude investments demand-pull private-led modern milling sector contract farming development should be prioritized achieve