The transmissibility of hepatitis C virus: a modelling study in Xiamen City, China

• DOI: 10.1017/s0950268820002885
• Publication Date: 2020-11-25T06:54:50Z
• Authors: Yao Wang; Zeyu Zhao; Mingzhai Wang; Mikah Ngwanguong ...; Qingqing Hu; Jia Rui; Xingchun Liu; Yuanzhao Zhu; Jingwen Xu; Meng Yang; Jing-An Cui; Yanhua Su; Benhua Zhao; Tianmu Chen
• Keywords: Transmissibility (structural dynamics)

Abstract This study aimed at estimating the transmissibility of hepatitis C. The data for C cases were collected in six districts Xiamen City, China from 2004 to 2018. A population-mixed susceptible-infectious-chronic-recovered (SICR) model was used fit and parameters calculated. basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) newly transmitted by a primary case per month MNI adopted quantitatively assess virus (HCV). Eleven curve estimation models employed predict trends city. SICR fits reported HCV well P < 0.01). median each district is 0.4059. follows cubic curve, compound power function curve. 0.0020. decreasing trend, which reveals that under current policy prevention control, there would be high feasibility eliminate transmission