An ensemble analysis to predict future habitats of striped marlin (Kajikia audax) in the North Pacific Ocean

• DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fss191
• Publication Date: 2013-01-09T14:44:19Z
• Authors: Nan-Jay Su; Chi-Lu Sun; André E. Punt; Su-Zan Yeh; Gerard DiNardo; Yi-Jay Chang
• Keywords: Marine habitats

Abstract Su, N.-J., Sun, C.-L., Punt, A. E., Yeh, S.-Z., DiNardo, G., and Chang, Y.-J. 2013. An ensemble analysis to predict future habitats of striped marlin (Kajikia audax) in the North Pacific Ocean. – ICES Journal Marine Science, 70: 1013–1022. Striped is a highly migratory species distributed throughout Ocean, which shows considerable variation spatial distribution as consequence habitat preference. This may therefore shift its range response changes marine environment driven by climate change. It important understand factors determining influence change on these factors, develop effective fisheries management policies given economic importance impact fishing. We examined patterns preferences using generalized additive models fitted data from longline fisheries. Future distributions were predicted an analysis, represents uncertainty due several global greenhouse gas emission scenarios. The increase water temperature lead northward displacement Use simple predictor describe distribution, previous studies, not be robust, emphasizes that variables other than sea surface temperatures bioclimatic are needed large pelagic species.