Assessment of the impact of forestry and leisure activities on wild boar spatial disturbance with a potential application to ASF risk of spread

Wild boar Preparedness African Swine Fever
DOI: 10.1111/tbed.13447 Publication Date: 2019-12-10T14:45:46Z
ABSTRACT
In Europe, African swine fever virus (ASFV) is one of the most threatening infectious transboundary diseases domestic pigs and wild boar. September 2018, ASF was detected in boar South Belgium. France, as a bordering country, extremely concerned about situation Belgium, an active preparedness ongoing country. One questions raised by this relates to disturbing activities that may affect movements their possible impact on spread ASFV. Despite evidence disturbance related hunting practices, there paucity information forestry human leisure activities. To assess movements, systematic review first conducted but very few useful data were obtained. For reason, expert elicitation carried out French Agency for Food, Environmental Occupational Health & Safety order deal with knowledge gap. A total 30 experts originating from France adjacent neighbouring countries (Spain, Belgium Switzerland) elicited relative importance six factors spatial (noise, smell, invasion space, modification environment, duration frequency activity). Then, each factor disturbance, they asked 16 different commercial global weighted score estimated capture variability wide range territorial conditions uncertainty elicitation. This estimate permitted ranking all aggregating them three groups according potential boar, using regression tree analysis. The results provide methodological approach be other European decision makers stakeholders involved crisis management ASF.
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