Recurrence rates for sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS): the importance of risk stratification

• DOI: 10.1136/adc.2007.121350
• Publication Date: 2008-05-23T00:54:08Z
• Authors: M J Campbell; D Hall; T Stephenson; C Bacon; J Madan
• Keywords: Smoking; Infant, Newborn; Infant; United Kingdom; 3. Good health; Parity; 03 medical and health sciences; 0302 clinical medicine; Pregnancy; Recurrence; Income; Humans; Female; Tobacco Smoke Pollution; Epidemiologic Methods; Sudden Infant Death; Maternal Age

<h3>Objective:</h3> To investigate the importance of stratification by risk factors in computing probability a second death from sudden infant syndrome (SIDS) family. <h3>Design:</h3> Simulation study. <h3>Background:</h3> The fact that baby dies suddenly and unexpectedly means there is raised baby's family have associated with SIDS. Thus one cannot consider subsequent to be general population. Confidential Enquiry into Stillbirths Deaths Infancy (CESDI) identified three major social factors: smoking, age&lt;27 parity&gt;1, unemployed/unwaged as factors. It gave estimates for families different numbers these We whether it reasonable assume that, conditional on factors, event independent first consequence can square risks get two SIDS used CESDI data estimate SID under plausible scenarios prevalence applied model make predictions Care Next Infant (CONI) <h3>Results:</h3> predictions. CONI study observed 18 Our predicted 14 dealths (95% prediction interval 7 21). <h3>Conclusion:</h3> When considering should always take account known If all been identified, then risks, events product individual risks. However, given we quantify magnitude increased because other possible not accounted model.