Recent Progress in the Fundamental Understanding of Tropical Cyclone Motion

• DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2020-001
• Publication Date: 2019-10-07T22:03:50Z
• Authors: Kosuke Ito; Chun-Chieh Wu; Kelvin T. F. Chan; Ralf Toumi; Chris Davis
• Keywords: Science & Technology; 550; INTENSITY; IMPACT; INTENSIFICATION; FLOW; ATMOSPHERE; 01 natural sciences; multi-scale interactions; fundamental studies; 13. Climate action; Physical Sciences; SIMULATION; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences; VERTICAL STRUCTURE; TRACK DEFLECTION; 0401 Atmospheric Sciences; SENSITIVITY; tropical cyclone motion; 0105 earth and related environmental sciences

While the fundamental understanding of tropical cyclone (TC) movement is fairly mature, notable advancements are still being made. This paper summarizes new concepts and updates to the existing fundamental theories on TC movement obtained from simplified barotropic models, full-physics models, and data analysis, particularly since 2014. The scope includes recent works on the interaction between a TC and its environment, and the predictability related to TC movement. Although conventional concepts of steering flow, β-gyre, and diabatic heating remain important, a more complete understanding of TC movement governing mechanisms can provide an important basis for further track forecast improvements.