Decline of notified dengue infections in Indonesia in 2017: Discussion of the possible determinants

• DOI: 10.52225/narraj.v1i1.23
• Publication Date: 2021-08-13T08:49:55Z
• Authors: Pandji Wibawa Dhe...; Kurnia F. Jamil; Jonny Karunia Fajar; Panji Probo Sakti...; Roy Nusa; Triwibowo Ambar G...; Samsul Anwar; Firzan Firzan; Dewi Megawati; R. Tedjo Sasmono; Mudatsir Mudatsir
• Keywords: Case fatality rate; Christian ministry

This study was conducted to quantify the trend in dengue notifications country 2017 and explore possible determinants. Annual nation-wide notification data were obtained from National Disease Surveillance of Ministry Health Indonesia. incidence rate (IR) case fatality (CFR) previous years quantified compared. Correlations between annual larva free index (LFI), implementation coverage integrated vector management (IVM), El Niño Southern Oscillation (Niño3.4), Dipole Mode Index (DMI), Zika virus seropositivity percent change IR CFR examined. The CFRs mapped. In 2017, declined by 71% (22.55 per 100,000 population) compared 2016 (77.96 while slightly reduced 0.79% 0.75%. Reduction occurred 94.1% 70.1% out 34 provinces, respectively. seems be influenced Niño3.4 but there is no clear evidence that main reason for reduction 2017. It difficult elucidate associated with outbreaks. conclusion, a significant on Indonesia Further investigation needed look at role climate decline finer temporal scale. addition, cross-protective immunity generated infection also warranted.