Colorectal Cancer Trends in Kerman Province, the Largest Province in Iran, with Forecasting until 2016

• DOI: 10.7314/apjcp.2013.14.2.791
• Publication Date: 2013-08-09T02:03:46Z
• Authors: Nikbakht Roya; Bahrampour Abbas
• Keywords: Adult; Aged, 80 and over; Male; Adolescent; Incidence; Iran; Middle Aged; Models, Theoretical; 3. Good health; Young Adult; 03 medical and health sciences; 0302 clinical medicine; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Humans; Mass Screening; Female; Registries; Colorectal Neoplasms; Aged; Forecasting

Colorectal cancer is one of the most common cancers. The aim this study determination its trends in Kerman province and individual cities separately until year 2016. This analytical modeling was based registry data University Medical Sciences, collected during 2001-2010. Among 20,351 case, 792 were colorectal cases age group 18-93 years with a mean 59.4 standard deviation 15.1. By applying time series trends, incidences predicted 2016 for each city, adjustment population size. In cases, 413 (52%) male, 379 (48%) female. annual increasing rate overall can be expected to 6%, Rafsanjan, Bardsir, Bam, Kerman, Baft, Sirjan, Jiroft, Kahnuj Manujan had an range from 5 14% by But Ravar, Zarand Shahrbabak reduction rates at least 2% could predicted. showed that trend female will increase 15% male 7% Given so resources consumed treatment patients, efforts shoudlbe focused on prevention early diagnosis disease. Screening have important role leading improved survival.