A5055025894- Climate variability and models
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Privacy, Security, and Data Protection
- Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Wind and Air Flow Studies
- Intellectual Property Law
- Privacy-Preserving Technologies in Data
- Methane Hydrates and Related Phenomena
- Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
- World Trade Organization Law
- Intellectual Property and Patents
- Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
- Risk Perception and Management
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing
- Tree-ring climate responses
- Cybercrime and Law Enforcement Studies
- Advanced Statistical Methods and Models
- Chemical Safety and Risk Management
- Internet Traffic Analysis and Secure E-voting
- Wind Energy Research and Development
Newcastle University
2020-2025
Met Office
2020-2021
University of Birmingham
2019
Munster Technological University
2005-2017
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
1989
The propagation of drought from meteorological to soil moisture can be accelerated by high temperatures during dry periods. occurrence extremely long-duration periods in combination with may drive larger deficits than either extreme occurring alone, and lead severe impacts. In this study, we propose a framework both characterise droughts that co-occur quantify their probability. We term these events as long-duration, hot (DH) them duration (D) magnitude (M). D is defined the consecutive...
Abstract Compound weather and climate events are combinations of drivers and/or hazards that contribute to societal or environmental risk. Studying compound often requires a multidisciplinary approach combining domain knowledge the underlying processes with, for example, statistical methods model outputs. Recently, aid development research on events, four event types were introduced, namely (a) preconditioned , (b) multivariate (c) temporally compounding (d) spatially events. However,...
Abstract Compound events are extreme impacts that depend on multiple variables need not be themselves. In this study, we analyze soil moisture drought as a compound event of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration (PET) time scales related to both meteorological heat waves in wet, transitional, dry climates Europe during summer. Drought indices incorporate PET account for the effect temperature conditions sensitive global warming. However, (ET) is limited climates, use such has often...
The co-occurrence of wind and rainfall extremes can yield larger impacts than when either hazard occurs in isolation. This study assesses compound produced by Extra-tropical cyclones (ETCs) during winter from two perspectives. Firstly, we assess ETCs with extreme footprints rainfall; footprint severity is measured using the index (WSI) rain (RSI) which account for intensity, duration, area hazard. Secondly, local co-occurrences 6-hourly within ETCs. We quantify likelihood these perspectives...
Extratropical windstorms can lead to extreme impacts in the UK; however, future changes windstorm frequency and intensity are uncertain due natural variability lack of model consensus.Further uncertainty arises unresolved or poorly represented processes which reduce validity traditional coarse resolution climate models.This study demonstrates added value higher simulations their representation windstorms.It also assesses first ensemble convection-permitting (CPM, 2.2 km grid spacing)...
Abstract Extra-tropical windstorms are one of the costliest natural hazards affecting Europe, and that develop a sting jet extremely damaging. A is mesoscale core very high wind speeds occurs in Shapiro–Keyser type cyclones, high-resolution models required to adequately model jets. Here, we low-cost methodology automatically detect jets, using characteristic warm seclusion cyclones slantwise descent speeds, within pan-European 2.2 km convection-permitting climate (CPM) simulations. The...
ABSTRACT Insurers and risk managers for critical infrastructure such as transport or power networks typically do not account flooding extreme winds happening at the same time in their quantitative assessments. We explore this potentially underestimation of from these co‐occurring hazards through studying events using regional 12 km resolution UK Climate Projections a 1981–1999 baseline projections 2061–2079 (RCP8.5). create new wintertime (October–March) set 3427 wind to match an existing...
Insurers and risk managers for critical infrastructure such as transport of power networks typically do not account flooding extreme winds happening at the same time in their quantitative assessments. We explore this potentially underestimation from these co-occurring hazards through studying events using regional 12 km resolution UK Climate Projections a 1981-1999 baseline projections 2061-2079 (RCP8.5). create new wintertime (Oct-Mar) set 3,427 wind to match an existing fluvial flow...
Abstract When multiple weather‐driven hazards such as heatwaves, droughts, storms or floods occur simultaneously consecutively, their impacts on society and the environment can compound. Despite recent advances in compound event research, risk assessments by practitioners policymakers remain predominantly single‐hazard focused. This is largely due to traditional siloed approaches that assess manage natural hazards. Hence, there a need adopt more ‘multi‐hazard approach’ managing events...
Ignoring a correlation between flooding and extreme winds underestimates risk to insurers or providers of critical infrastructure such as railways electricity. We explore this potential underestimation for Northwest Europe, illustrated using Great Britain (GB), an event-based analysis in regional 12 km UK Climate Projections (UKCP18, 1981-1999, 2061-2079 – RCP8.5). derive new wintertime (Oct-Mar) set 3,427 wind events match existing fluvial flow extremes design innovative multi-event...
Electricity networks are an important component of critical national infrastructure. Their failure, leading to power outages, can cascade through other infrastructure and compromise the function services. facing a massive transformation handle increased demands placed on them by net zero commitments. Alongside this, future increases in frequency intensity extreme weather will test electricity that is already perceived have insufficient resilience. Transforming as part transition presents...
Abstract Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) derived from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR-2) on NOAA-7 and NOAA-9 satellites arc compared with measurements taken a boat in coastal waters off Fremantle, Western Australia. The satellite have been corrected for atmospheric water vapour, using seven published algorithms. two most appropriate algorithms our data set result 'boat-minus-satellite' biases of about 0-2 deg C —0-1 degC, R.M.S. errors 0-6 C. temperature transects are...
<p>Compound weather and climate events are combinations of drivers and/or hazards that contribute to societal or environmental risk. Studying compound often requires a multidisciplinary approach combining domain knowledge the underlying processes with, for example, statistical methods model outputs. Recently, aid development research on events, four event types were introduced, namely (a) <em>preconditioned</em>, (b)...
Abstract Precipitation within extratropical cyclones is very likely to increase towards the end of century in a business-as-usual scenario. We investigate hourly precipitation changes end-of-century winter storms with first km-scale model ensemble covering northwest Europe and Baltic region. This an that explicitly represents convection (convection permitting models (CPMs)). Models agree future will bring 10%–50% more precipitation, same level light but moderate heavy together less frequent...
Earth and Space Science Open Archive This preprint has been submitted to is under consideration at Earth's Future. ESSOAr a venue for early communication or feedback before peer review. Data may be preliminary.Learn more about preprints preprintOpen AccessYou are viewing the latest version by default [v1]Bottom-up identification of key elements compound eventsAuthorsEmanueleBevacquaCarloDe MicheleiDColinManningAnaısCouasnoniDAndreia F SRibeiroiDAlexandre...
Abstract. Long-duration, sub-seasonal dry spells in combination with high temperature extremes during summer have led to extreme impacts on society and ecosystems the past. Such events are expected become more frequent due increasing temperatures as a result of anthropogenic climate change. However, there is little information how long-duration hot represented global models (GCMs). In this study, we evaluate 33 CMIP5 (coupled model intercomparison project 5) GCMs their representation spells....
Windstorms are the main cause of large power outages in UK. Faults to electricity distribution networks during windstorms predominantly a result windthrow, uprooting or breakage trees by winds that then fall on assets such as overhead lines. The impact strong windthrow is influenced several conditions: uproot more easily saturated soils, they vulnerable from unusual directions, and susceptible growing season when their leaves catch wind. Despite this, risk assessments impacts, outages,...
The cost of storing and processing vast quantities digital data has dropped significantly in recent years. Cloud computing services, such as those provided by Amazon, have commodified so that applications once required supercomputers are now available to anyone with an internet connection a credit card. When the Data Protection Directive was issued 1995 World Wide Web we understand it today barely existed. scale scope gathering on citizens could not been foreseen existing legal framework is...
Although rape was a feature of conflicts for centuries it not until the second half Twentieth Century that came to be fully appreciated as means warfare, rather than side-effect it, and prosecuted war crime. The development jurisprudence wartime rape, particularly at International Criminal Tribunal former Yugoslavia, raised awareness gendered violence culminated in more effective legislation practice Court (ICC). However, some scholars have cautioned over-emphasis on women's vulnerabilities...
Earth and Space Science Open Archive This preprint has been submitted to is under consideration at Earth's Future. ESSOAr a venue for early communication or feedback before peer review. Data may be preliminary.Learn more about preprints preprintOpen AccessYou are viewing the latest version by default [v1]Bottom-up identification of key elements compound eventsAuthorsEmanueleBevacquaCarloDe MicheleiDColinManningAnaısCouasnoniDAndreia F SRibeiroiDAlexandre...
Abstract Extra-tropical windstorms are one of the costliest natural hazards affecting Europe, and that develop a sting-jet extremely damaging. A is mesoscale core very high wind speeds occurs in Shapiro-Keyser type cyclones, high-resolution models required to adequately model sting-jets. Here, we low-cost methodology automatically detect sting jets, using characteristic warm seclusion cyclones slantwise descent speeds, within pan-European 2.2km convection-permitting climate (CPM) simulations...
Abstract. Long-duration dry spells in combination with temperature extremes during summer have led to extreme impacts on society and ecosystems the past. Such events are expected become more frequent due increasing temperatures as a result of anthropogenic climate change. However, there is little information how long-duration hot represented global models (GCMs). In this study, we evaluate 33 CMIP5 GCMs their representation spells. We define spell consecutive number days daily precipitation...