Carbon taxes are widely regarded as a potentially effective and economically efficient policy instrument for decarbonizing the global energy supply thus limiting warming. The main obstacle is political feasibility because of opposition from citizens industry. Earmarking revenues carbon taxation spending that benefits (i.e., revenue recycling) might help makers escape this impasse. On basis choice experiments with representative samples in Germany United States, we examine whether recycling...

Environmental protection efforts commonly make use of two types government interventions: command and control policies (C&C) market-based instruments (MBIs). While MBIs are favored for their economic efficiency, visible prices on pollution may generate political backlash. We examine whether citizens more likely to support that tend obfuscate policy costs (C&C), as opposed MBIs, which impose costs. Using conjoint experiments in Beijing New Delhi, we ‘policy bundles’, including both C&C aimed...

Ambitious climate policy requires acceptance by millions of people whose daily lives would be affected in costly ways. In turn, this an understanding how to get the mass public on board and prevent a political backlash against policies. Many scholars regard ‘framing’, specially tailored messages emphasizing specific subsets arguments certain population subgroups, as effective communication strategy for changing beliefs, attitudes, behaviors. contrast, other argue that hold relatively stable...

Onsets of binary events are often interest to political scientists, whether they be regime changes, the occurrence civil war, or signing bilateral agreements, name a few. Often researchers transform event outcome interest, by setting ongoing years zero, create variable which measures onset event. While this may seem an intuitive way go about estimating models where is it results in two problems that can affect substantive inferences. First, creates qualitatively different meanings for unit...

Conventional wisdom holds that climate change poses a global public goods problem, thus requiring solution reduces greenhouse gas ( GHG ) emissions worldwide through some form of centralized target setting and burden‐sharing arrangement among countries. Yet, the 2015 Paris Agreement has essentially given up on this approach, which 1997 Kyoto Protocol was based, now relies policies are adopted unilaterally voluntarily by individual Since ambitious very unlikely to be enacted effectively...

Abstract Models testing interactive and quadratic hypotheses are common in Political Science but control strategies for these models have received little attention. Common practice is to simply include additive variables, without relevant product terms, into with interaction or terms. In this paper, we show Monte Carlos that terms can absorb the effects of other un-modeled non-linear analogously, included reflect omitted interactions non-linearities. This problem even occurs when do not...

While delegation of policymaking authority from citizens to parliament is the most defining characteristic representative democracy, public demand for delegating such away legislature/government technocrats or back appears have increased. Drawing on spatial models voting, we argue that distance between individuals’ ideal policy points, status quo, experts’ positions and aggregated societal preferences can help explain whether individuals prefer delegate decision-making power and, if so,...

Abstract Stringent policies that significantly increase the cost of greenhouse gas emissions, such as CO 2 , are increasingly necessary for mitigating climate change. Yet while richer individuals in society generate most emissions and thus will face largest absolute burden, they also tend to be more supportive stringent environmental policies. In this paper, we examine how information about distribution carbon by income affects support taxation. While taxation is widely advocated efficient...

This article studies individual-level attitudes towards long-term investment policies using novel survey data for the case of Germany. Building on a budding literature relationship between environmental and social policy attitudes, our first contribution to research is show that citizens, when prompted think about their support policies, welfare state related such as investments in education pensions greater degree than non-welfare issues public infrastructure or renewable energy. Citizens...

The traditional political economy account of global climate change governance directs our attention to fundamental collective action problems associated with public goods provision, resulting from positive or negative externalities as well freeriding. architecture the 1997 Kyoto Protocol uses approaches international diplomacy for addressing such challenges: legally binding commitments based on principles reciprocity and (fair) cost/burden sharing via formalized carbon-budgeting. Yet, 2015...

Strong public support is a prerequisite for ambitious and thus costly climate change mitigation policy, strong concern over policy support. Why, then, do most opinion surveys indicate rather high levels of support, while de facto efforts in countries remain far from ambitious? One possibility that survey measures fail to fully reveal the true attitudes citizens due social desirability bias. In this paper, we implemented list-experiments representative Germany United States (N = 3620 3640...

Abstract Policies sometimes exempt particular categories of regulatees for reasons equity and political feasibility. Will the non‐exempt oppose policy because they shoulder all costs? We outline an analytic framework “stress testing” public support among when are provided negative information about exemptions reduced effectiveness. Empirically, we study odd‐even road space rationing in India. Using a survey experiment with 2,182 car owners Bangalore, find considerable baseline this policy....

Abstract Recent research has shown that interaction effects may often be nonlinear (Hainmueller, Mummolo, and Xu [2019, Political Analysis 27, 163–192]). As standard effect specifications assume a linear effect, is, the moderator conditions at constant rate, this can lead to bias. However, allowing effects, without accounting for other nonlinearities also biased estimates. Specifically, researchers infer even though true is linear, when variables used covariate adjustment are correlated with...

Abstract Ambitious climate policy requires acceptance by millions of people whose daily lives would be affected in costly ways. How to get the mass public on board prevent a political backlash against policies? Many scholars regard ‘framing’ as an effective communication strategy for changing beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors. In contrast, skeptics argue that hold relatively stable opinions doubt framing can alter opinion salient issues like change. We contribute this debate conducting first...

We shed new light on a long-standing question in political science: when confronted with costly policy-choices, do citizens form their preferences based material (economic) concerns or other-regarding motivations, such as the distribution of costs, and how these are moderated by ideology. Using case carbon taxation, widely advocated policy solution to climate change, we conducted survey experiments Germany United States assess relative importance forms preferences. The results show that...

Abstract When separation is a problem in binary dependent variable models, many researchers use Firth's penalized maximum likelihood order to obtain finite estimates (Firth, 1993; Zorn, 2005; Rainey, 2016). In this paper, I show that approach can lead inferences the opposite direction of when number observations are sufficiently large and both independent variables rare events. As datasets with events frequently used political science, such as dyadic data measuring interstate relations, lack...

Abstract Policy processes are affected by how policymakers assess public support for a policy. But is given policy itself characteristics of the process, such as cooperation or confrontation amongst actors? Specifically, if different branches government hold conflicting positions on policy, do clashes affect policy? To address this question, we exploit an unexpected clash executive and judiciary in New Delhi, between survey waves, over exemptions women context odd–even rule, intervention to...

In the aftermath of financial crises, governments can use economic policy to minimize risk future recurrence. Yet not all do so. To explain this divergence in responses I develop a theory choice after crises. argue that past crises provide information about political costs This subsequently informs need insure against such Focusing on accumulation foreign exchange reserves currency find when led changes accumulate higher levels prevent another crisis from occurring. effect is stronger change...