Temporal Trends in the Burden of Diabetes and Its Risk Factors Across the Western Pacific Region Between 1990 and 2044: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

• DOI: 10.1002/dmrr.70036
• Publication Date: 2025-02-21T20:54:41Z
• Authors: Xinwei Liu; Bing Wu; Yongqiang Lai; Xiyu Zhang; Hongyu Li; Fangqi Qu; Chenxi Zhang; Yulu Tian; Xuelian Fu; Jida Li; Huiqi Yang; Rui Chen; Baoguo Shi; Yanan Ma; Jia Meng; Ye Li

ABSTRACT Aims We aimed to assess changes in the burden of diabetes Western Pacific region (WPR) between 1990 and 2019, project future trends for 2020–2044, identify factors influencing these trends. Materials Methods Data from Global Burden Disease Study 2019 were used calculate age‐standardised incidence rate (ASIR), death (ASDR) disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs) region. The Nordpred model was predict diabetes‐related ASIR ASDR over next 25 years, an age‐period‐cohort (APC) analysed effects age, period cohort. examined associations ASIR, DALYs per 100,000 population with socio‐demographic index (SDI). Results observed increasing trend incidence. Mortality increased lower‐middle income group decreased slowly high‐ upper‐middle groups. High body mass significantly affected diabetes, influence time, whereas that tobacco showed a decreasing trend. towards occurring at younger manner consistent economic development Diabetes mortality opposite high‐income group, increase SDI. Conclusions is WPR, association urbanisation unhealthy lifestyles. Targeting risk affect all stages disease managing them through multi‐agency collaboration may improve quality patients living condition.