On the role of solar photovoltaics in global energy transition scenarios

• DOI: 10.1002/pip.2885
• Publication Date: 2017-03-17T11:48:51Z
• Authors: Christian Breyer; Dmitrii Bogdanov; Ashish Gulagi; Arman Aghahosseini; Larissa S.N.S. Ba...; Otto Koskinen; Maulidi Barasa; Upeksha Caldera; Svetlana Afanasyeva; Michael Child; Javier Farfan; Pasi Vainikka
• Keywords: Energy transition; Primary energy; Energy supply; Grid parity

Abstract The global energy system has to be transformed towards high levels of sustainability in order comply with the COP21 agreement. Solar photovoltaic (PV) offers excellent characteristics play a major role this transition. key objective work is investigate PV transition based on respective scenarios and newly introduced model developed by authors. A progressive group present results fast growth installed capacities supply share solar total primary demand world decades come. These can confirmed. For very first time, full hourly modelling for an entire year performed world, subdivided 145 sub‐regions, which required reflect intermittent character future system. derives capacity requirements 7.1–9.1 TWp electricity sector (as 2015) 27.4 mid‐term. long‐term expected 42 and, because ongoing cost reduction battery technologies, value found lower limit capacities. largest, least most relevant source mid‐term supply. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.