Global warming and urbanization

• DOI: 10.1007/s00148-022-00924-y
• Publication Date: 2022-10-01T03:50:01Z
• Authors: Marc Helbling; Daniel Meierrieks
• Keywords: 2. Zero hunger; 330; Q54; ddc:330; panel vector error correction models; 05 social sciences; 1. No poverty; urbanization; 15. Life on land; global warming; 300; R23; climate change; 13. Climate action; 11. Sustainability; 0502 economics and business; rural–urban migration

Abstract Analyzing 118 countries between 1960 and 2016, we find that higher temperatures correlate with urbanization rates in the long run, where this relationship is much more pronounced than any short-term linkage. The long-run global warming also conditional upon country-specific conditions. This association especially relevant poorer agriculture-dependent an urban bias as well initially non-urban hotter climate zones. We provide suggestive evidence contributes to losses agricultural productivity pro-urban shifts public goods provision warming-urbanization nexus partly mediated through these channels. Consequently, argue estimated temperature captures potential impact of increasing on via a rural push (by impairing agriculture) pull (via increased demand for primarily supplied cities).