Serum Creatinine/Cystatin C Ratio as a Predictor of In-hospital Mortality in Patients Hospitalized with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
Aged, 80 and over
Hospitalization
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
03 medical and health sciences
0302 clinical medicine
Creatinine
Disease Progression
COPD
Humans
Hospital Mortality
Cystatin C
Retrospective Studies
3. Good health
DOI:
10.1007/s00408-022-00568-5
Publication Date:
2022-09-15T01:02:33Z
AUTHORS (10)
ABSTRACT
Abstract
Purpose
Low serum creatinine/cystatin C ratio (CCR) is associated with unfavorable characteristics in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); however, the relationship between CCR and in-hospital mortality of patients with acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) is unexplored. Our objective was to assess the value of CCR for predicting in-hospital mortality of patients hospitalized with AECOPD.
Methods
Patients with AECOPD (n = 597) were retrospectively enrolled. Patient’s clinical characteristics and laboratory tests, including serum cystatin C and creatinine, were reviewed. The prediction value of CCR was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values. Factors potentially impacting in-hospital mortality were investigated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.
Results
Mortality rate during hospitalization was 10.05%. CCR was lower in non-surviving vs. survived patients (41.67 vs. 61.52, P < 0.001). AUC value for CCR for in-hospital mortality prediction was 0.79 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73–0.85]. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, in-hospital mortality was strongly associated with CCR < 52.27 [odds ratio (OR) 6.23, 95% CI (3.00–12.92), P < 0.001], age ≥ 81 years [OR 2.97, 95% CI (1.20–7.37), P = 0.019], oxygenation index < 300 [OR 3.28, 95% CI (1.27–8.44), P = 0.014], CRP > 8 mg/L [OR 1.84, 95% CI (1.15–2.95), P = 0.012], and D-dimer > 500 ng/L [OR 5.19, 95% CI (1.51–17.79), P = 0.009].
Conclusions
CCR was significantly lower, and is a potential prognostic indicator, in patients with AECOPD who died during hospitalization.
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