Integrating microbial ecology into ecosystem models: challenges and priorities

0301 basic medicine Environmental management Nitrogen Environmental Science and Management Agronomy & Agriculture Precipitation 15. Life on land Environmental Management 03 medical and health sciences Geochemistry 13. Climate action Earth Sciences Functional groups Community composition Temporal dynamics Warming Other Chemical Sciences Global change Environmental Sciences
DOI: 10.1007/s10533-011-9636-5 Publication Date: 2011-09-06T13:12:01Z
ABSTRACT
Microbial communities can potentially mediate feedbacks between global change and ecosystem function, owing to their sensitivity to environmental change and their control over critical biogeochemical processes. Numerous ecosystem models have been developed to predict global change effects, but most do not consider microbial mechanisms in detail. In this idea paper, we examine the extent to which incorporation of microbial ecology into ecosystem models improves predictions of carbon (C) dynamics under warming, changes in precipitation regime, and anthropogenic nitrogen (N) enrichment. We focus on three cases in which this approach might be especially valuable: temporal dynamics in microbial responses to environmental change, variation in ecological function within microbial communities, and N effects on microbial activity. Four microbially-based models have addressed these scenarios. In each case, predictions of the microbial-based models differ—sometimes substantially—from comparable conventional models. However, validation and parameterization of model performance is challenging. We recommend that the development of microbial-based models must occur in conjunction with the development of theoretical frameworks that predict the temporal responses of microbial communities, the phylogenetic distribution of microbial functions, and the response of microbes to N enrichment.
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