Simulation of land use landscape pattern evolution from a multi-scenario simulation: a case study of Nansi Lake Basin in China

• DOI: 10.1007/s10661-023-11416-1
• Publication Date: 2023-06-09T16:01:44Z
• Authors: Shanmei Han; Yande Jing; Yingchun Liu
• Keywords: China; Conservation of Natural Resources; Lakes; 13. Climate action; 11. Sustainability; Humans; Human Activities; Computer Simulation; 15. Life on land; Ecosystem; Environmental Monitoring

Reasonable regulation of the total amount and layout of land resources is the significant cornerstone for releasing the potential of land resources. This study explored the spatial layout and evolution characteristics of the Nansi Lake Basin from the perspective of land use and simulated the spatial distribution pattern under multiple scenarios in 2035 with the Future Land Use Simulation model which more effectively reflected the process of land use change in the actual situation, revealing the land use change of the Nansi Lake Basin under the influence of different human activities. Analysis indicated that the simulation results obtained using the Future Land Use Simulation model strongly agree with reality. By 2035, the magnitude and spatial distribution of land use landscapes will change significantly under three scenarios. The findings provide a reference for the adjustment of land use planning in the Nansi Lake Basin.