Predicting Durable Clinical Benefits of Postoperative Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: A Nomogram Based on CT Imaging and Immune Type

• DOI: 10.1016/j.acra.2024.07.004
• Publication Date: 2024-08-16T19:52:23Z
• Authors: Liangna Deng; Mingtao Zhang; Kaibo Zhu; Jialiang Ren; Peng Zhang; Yuting Zhang; Mengyuan Jing; Tao Han; Bin Zhang; Junlin Zhou

To develop a model based on conventional CT signs and the tumor microenvironment immune types (TIMT) to predict the durable clinical benefits (DCB) of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).A total of 205 patients with NSCLC underwent preoperative CT and were divided into two groups: DCB (progression-free survival (PFS) ≥ 18 months) and non-DCB (NDCB, PFS <18 months). The density percentiles of PD-L1 and CD8 + tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) were quantified to estimate the TIMT. Clinical characteristics and conventional CT signs were collected. Multivariate logistic regression was employed to select the most discriminating parameters, construct a predictive model, and visualize the model as a nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate prediction performance and clinical utility.Precisely 118 patients with DCB and 87 with NDCB in NSCLC received postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. TIMT was statistically different between the DCB and NDCB groups (P < 0.05). Clinical characteristics (neuron-specific enolase, squamous cell carcinoma antigen, Ki-76, and cM stage) and conventional CT signs (spiculation, bubble-like lucency, pleural retraction, maximum diameter, and CT value of the venous phase) varied between the four TIMT groups (P < 0.05). Furthermore, clinical characteristics (lymphocyte count [LYMPH] and cM stage) and conventional CT signs (bubble-like lucency and Pleural effusion) differed between the DCB and NDCB groups (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that TIMT, cM stage, LYMPH, and pleural effusion were independently associated with DCB and were used to construct a nomogram. The area under the curve (AUC) of the combined model was 0.70 (95%CI: 0.64-0.76), with sensitivity and specificity of 0.73 and 0.60, respectively.Conventional CT signs and the TIMT offer a promising approach to predicting clinical outcomes for patients treated with postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in NSCLC.