Implications of 2 °C global warming in European summer tourism

• DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.002
• Publication Date: 2016-02-17T23:27:50Z
• Authors: Manolis G. Grillakis; Aristeidis G. Kou...; Konstantinos D. S...; Ioannis K. Tsanis
• Keywords: H1-99; Tourism Climatic Index (TCI); 2 degrees global warming; ENSEMBLES RCMs; 01 natural sciences; 7. Clean energy; Social sciences (General); Europe; 13. Climate action; Meteorology. Climatology; 11. Sustainability; QC851-999; 0105 earth and related environmental sciences

Tourism is highly dependent on the climatic conditions of a given destination. This study examines impact two degrees global warming European summer tourism from climate comfort perspective. The changes in are realized with aid Climatic Index (TCI). Four ENSEMBLES Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provided data for Europe under A1B emission scenario that used analysis potential favorability. Results show change will positively affect central and northern Europe, increasing further economic development this direction. Mediterranean countries likely to lose favorability during hot months whereas tend become more favorable early late seasons. Considering period focused between 2031 2060, estimated shifts indicate need adaptation strategies.