Where will China's shale gas industry go? A scenario analysis of socio-technical transition

• DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2022.100990
• Publication Date: 2022-11-01T04:38:45Z
• Authors: Dong Wei; Yiqi Zhao; Hongyuan Liu; Dongbo Yang; Kai Shi; Yuping Sun
• Keywords: Shale Gas; Energy development

The successful development of shale gas industry in China has a significant impact on China's energy consumption structure and the world market. Based socio-technical transition theory, this study defines as system natural driven by technological innovation management innovation. From multi-level perspective, systematically analyzes co-evolution dynamics multiple factors industry, further proposes scenarios using method. results show that generally relatively favorable environment, but it also faces many challenges, such lack internal capacity government support. And "Government led development", "Diversified "Green development" "High cost are four potential paths for industry.