Pathways to a forest-based bioeconomy in 2060 within policy targets on climate change mitigation and biodiversity protection

• DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2021.102551
• Publication Date: 2021-07-03T00:24:22Z
• Authors: Jukka Luhas; Mirja Mikkilä; Eliisa Kylkilahti; Jenni Miettinen; Arttu Malkamäki; Satu Pätäri; Jaana Korhonen; Tiia-Lotta Pekkanen; Anni Tuppura; Katja Lähtinen; Minna Autio; Lassi Linnanen; Markku Ollikainen; Anne Toppinen
• Keywords: Backcasting

While climate change and biodiversity loss have exposed humanity to major systemic risks, policymakers in more than 40 countries proposed the transition from a fossil-based bio-based economy as solution curb risks. In boreal region, forests prominent role contributing bioeconomy development; however, forest-based pathways towards sustainability required actions not yet been identified. Participatory backcasting was employed this study 'negotiate' such among Finnish stakeholders by 2060 three value networks: forest biorefineries, fibre-based packaging wooden multistorey construction. There are many alternative pathways, ranging incremental radical, within framework of ambitious targets. Path dependence can support development on should be considered when planning sustainability. Orchestration radical changes requires legislators, raw material producers, consumers researchers, because possibilities for business vary between different companies networks. The envisioned across networks, diversification diverse wood utilisation, offer co-benefits mitigation protection.