Modelling users’ behaviour of a carsharing program: Application of a joint hazard and zero inflated dynamic ordered probability model

• DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2011.09.019
• Publication Date: 2011-11-17T19:42:31Z
• Authors: Khandker M. Nurul...; Catherine Morency; Mohammed Tazul Islam; Vincent Grasset
• Keywords: 11. Sustainability; 01 natural sciences; 0105 earth and related environmental sciences

Abstract This paper presents an econometric model for the behaviour of carsharing users. The econometric model is developed to jointly forecast membership duration, the decision to become an active member in a particular month, and the frequency of monthly usage of active members. The model is estimated using the membership directory and monthly transaction data of a carsharing program, ‘ Communauto Inc .’, based in Montreal, Canada. The model shows a high degree of fit to the observed dataset and provides many behavioural details of carsharing users. The results are instructive to carsharing planners in devising efficient policies.