Modelling Covid-19 [Engineering & Technology]

• DOI: 10.1049/et.2020.0404
• Publication Date: 2021-04-24T18:13:34Z
• Authors: C. Andrews

Any infectious disease modelling is only as good the data that's fed into computers. Covid-19 a new virus, so modellers started with little and have subsequently had to make assumptions about transmission rates, incubation periods, time gap between when person develops symptoms becomes infectious, recovery rates levels of immunity. The accuracy official coronavirus predictions depend, it seems, on mathematical models. But how accurate are models themselves?