Evaluation of an empiric risk screening score to identify acute and early HIV-1 infection among MSM in Coastal Kenya

Adult Male 610 HIV Infections Kenya Risk Assessment Research Letters 3. Good health Cohort Studies Young Adult 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Predictive Value of Tests Area Under Curve 616 HIV-1 Humans Female Homosexuality, Male
DOI: 10.1097/qad.0b013e3283629095 Publication Date: 2013-07-10T12:32:14Z
ABSTRACT
We evaluated the University of North Carolina-Malawi Risk Screening Score (UMRSS) for detection of acute and early HIV-1 infection (AEHI) in a cohort of Kenyan MSM with approximately 8% annual HIV-1 incidence. Three components of the UMRSS (fever, diarrhea, and discordant rapid HIV tests) were also independent predictors of AEHI in our cohort. The predictive ability (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC) of the UMRSS was 0.79. A cohort-derived risk score consisting of six characteristics (fever, diarrhea, discordant rapid HIV tests, fatigue, age <30 years, and symptomatic sexually transmitted disease) had a higher AUC of 0.85. Screening for AEHI will have substantial transmission prevention benefits.
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