Prediction of the COVID-19 epidemic trends based on SEIR and AI models

• DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0245101
• Publication Date: 2021-01-08T18:54:48Z
• Authors: Shuo Feng; Zebang Feng; Chen Ling; Chen Chang; Zhongke Feng
• Keywords: 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Epidemic model; Epidemic control

In December 2019, the outbreak of a new coronavirus-caused pneumonia (COVID-19) in Wuhan attracted close attention China and world. The Chinese government took strong national intervention measures on January 23 to control spread epidemic. We are trying show impact these controls proposed an SEIR(Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed) model analyze epidemic trend use AI non-Wuhan areas. found that if closure was lifted, areas mainland would double size. Our SEIR effective predicting COVID-19 peaks sizes. taken by government, especially city measures, reduced scale