Identifying future district heating potentials in Germany: a study using empirical insights and distribution cost analysis

• DOI: 10.54337/ijsepm.8142
• Publication Date: 2024-04-02T11:57:43Z
• Authors: Pia Manz; Tobias Fleiter; Anna Billerbeck; Markus Fritz; Şirin Alibaş; Wolfgang Eichhammer
• Keywords: H1-99; 330; Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment; Economic potential; Geography, Planning and Development; Energy Engineering and Power Technology; Heat density; Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General); 620; Social sciences (General); District heating; Distribution capital cost; SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy; TA1-2040; Geographic information system

District heating will play an important role in the transition towards climate-neutral heating. Various studies on modelling energy system show that district and related expansion of networks can have different levels importance. A main reason is costs for distribution grid are not well or at all considered empirical evidence a threshold cost-effective missing such studies. In this paper, we aim to improve allowing representation future systems models. For that, current status analysed high spatial resolution Germany. The results with currently accepted average costs, large range possible market share buildings between 17 - 52% by 2050, parameters connection rate renovation building stock. We conclude could be increased factor 2 5 future, proving importance transition.