Simulation Model for Prediction of Timber Assortment Price Trends in Croatia - a Case Study of Brinje Forest Office

• DOI: 10.5552/drind.2017.1643
• Publication Date: 2017-07-03T06:16:44Z
• Authors: Karlo Beljan; Stjepan Posavec; Silvije Orsag; Krunoslav Teslak
• Keywords: 0401 agriculture, forestry, and fisheries; timber assortment price, price fl uctuations, Monte Carlo simulation; 04 agricultural and veterinary sciences; 15. Life on land

This paper presents the results of a simulation model for prediction sale prices common beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) and silver fi r (Abies alba Mill.) assortments in case study Brinje Forest Offi ce Croatia.The survey covers future time frame 140 years (starting from year 2013).The database realized selling period 1997 to 2013 was used this research.On basis statistical analysis past using Monte Carlo method, with 500, 100, 50 30 repetitions made.The result research is methodological forest management economic planning ce, as well other studies similar characteristics.Although, research, timber applicable Croatia have been used, same methods could be applied countries, too.