A5022651298- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Coastal and Marine Dynamics
- Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Climate variability and models
- Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Coastal and Marine Management
- Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
- Marine and environmental studies
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
- Marine and fisheries research
- Cryospheric studies and observations
- Climate Change and Sustainable Development
- Urban Heat Island Mitigation
- Water resources management and optimization
- Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
- Wave and Wind Energy Systems
- Urban Green Space and Health
- Aeolian processes and effects
- Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Coastal wetland ecosystem dynamics
- Climate change and permafrost
University of Bologna
2021-2025
CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
2025
Joint Research Centre
2016-2023
Asian Development Bank Institute
2022
Asian Development Bank
2022
Hong Kong Polytechnic University
2022
Rutgers Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights
2022
University of Padua
2022
European Commission
2020-2021
University of Genoa
2013-2016
Higher evaporative demands and more frequent persistent dry spells associated with rising temperatures suggest that drought conditions could worsen in many regions of the world. In this study, we assess how may develop across globe for 1.5, 2, 3°C warming compared to preindustrial temperatures. Results show two thirds global population will experience a progressive increase warming. For drying areas, durations are projected rise at rapidly increasing rates warming, averaged globally from 2.0...
Abstract Changes in coastal morphology have broad consequences for the sustainability of communities, structures and ecosystems. Although coasts are monitored locally many places, understanding long-term changes at a global scale remains challenge. Here we present consistent evaluation morphodynamics over 32 years (1984–2015) based on satellite observations. Land losses gains were estimated from water presence along more than 2 million virtual transects. We find that overall surface eroded...
Global warming is expected to drive increasing extreme sea levels (ESLs) and flood risk along the world's coastlines. In this work we present probabilistic projections of ESLs for century taking into consideration changes in mean level, tides, wind-waves, storm surges. Between year 2000 2100 project a very likely increase global average 100-year ESL 34-76 cm under moderate-emission-mitigation-policy scenario 58-172 business as usual scenario. Rising are mostly driven by thermal expansion,...
More intense precipitation will increase the flood potential from concurring storm surges and in future.
Future extreme sea levels ( ESLs ) and flood risk along European coasts will be strongly impacted by global warming. Yet, comprehensive projections of ESL that include mean level MSL ), tides, waves, storm surges do not exist. Here, we show changes in all components until 2100 view climate change. We find the end this century, 100‐year Europe's coastlines is on average projected to increase 57 cm for Representative Concentration Pathways RCP)4 .5 81 RCP8 .5. The North Sea region face highest...
Severe, extreme, and exceptional heat waves, such as those that occurred over the Balkans (2007), France (2003), or Russia (2010), are associated with increased mortality, human discomfort reduced labour productivity. Based on results of a very high-resolution global model, we show that, even at 1.5 °C warming, significant increase in wave magnitude is expected Africa, South America, Southeast Asia. Compared to world, under 2 warming frequency extreme waves would double most globe.
The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect is one of the most harmful environmental hazards for urban dwellers. Climate change expected to increase intensity UHI effect. In this context, implementation Green Infrastructure (UGI) can partially reduce intensity, promoting a resilient environment and contributing climate adaptation mitigation. order achieve result, there need systematically integrate UGI into planning legislation, but process subject availability widely applicable, easily accessible...
Extreme sea levels (ESLs) in Europe could rise by as much one metre or more the end of this century due to climate change. This poses significant challenges safeguard coastal communities. Here we present a comprehensive analysis economically efficient protection scenarios along Europe's coastlines during century. We employ probabilistic framework that integrates dynamic simulations all ESL components and flood inundation, impact modelling cost-benefit raising dykes. find at least 83% damages...
Abstract. Coastal flooding related to marine extreme events has severe socioeconomic impacts, and even though the latter are projected increase under changing climate, there is a clear deficit of information predictive capacity coastal flood mapping. The present contribution reports on efforts towards new methodology for mapping hazard at European scale, combining (i) waves total water level; (ii) improved inundation modeling; (iii) an open, physics-based framework which can be constantly...
The Paris agreement focused global climate mitigation policy on limiting warming to 1.5 or 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Consequently, projections of hazards and risk are increasingly framed in terms levels rather than emission scenarios. Here, we use a multimethod approach describe changes extreme sea driven by mean level associated with wide range levels, from 5 °C, for large number locations, providing uniform coverage over most the world's coastlines. We estimate that 2100 ~50%...
Abstract Compound flooding arises from storms causing concurrent extreme meteorological tides (that is the superposition of storm surge and waves) precipitation. This can severely affect densely populated low-lying coastal areas. Here, combining output climate ocean models, we analyse concurrence probability conditions driving compound flooding. We show that, under a high emissions scenario, would increase globally by more than 25% 2100 compared to present. In latitudes above 40 o north,...
Abstract In this study we conducted a comprehensive modeling analysis to identify global trends in extreme wave energy flux (WEF) along coastlines the 21st century under high emission pathway (Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5). For end of century, results show significant increase up 30% 100 year return level WEF for majority coastal areas southern temperate zone, while Northern Hemisphere large are characterized by negative trend. We that most long‐term can be explained...
Abstract The African coast contains heritage sites of ‘Outstanding Universal Value’ that face increasing risk from anthropogenic climate change. Here, we generated a database 213 natural and 71 cultural to assess exposure coastal flooding erosion under moderate (RCP 4.5) high 8.5) greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Currently, 56 (20%) are at 1-in-100-year extreme event, including the iconic ruins Tipasa (Algeria) North Sinai Archaeological Sites Zone (Egypt). By 2050, number exposed is...
Abstract River flood risk in Europe could rise to unprecedented levels due global warming and continued development flood-prone areas. Here, we appraise the potential of four key adaptation strategies reduce across based on modelling cost–benefit analysis. We find that reducing peaks using detention areas is economically most attractive option. In a scenario without climate mitigation (3 °C warming), they can lower projected losses by 2100 from €44(30–61) billion €8.1(5.5–10.7) per year...
The Adriatic Sea, characterized by unique local features in comparison to the broader Mediterranean stands out as a highly susceptible region climate change. In this context, our study involves focused downscaling approach, concentrating on water cycle. This encompasses integrated modeling at mesoscale, covering atmosphere, hydrology, and marine general circulation. period spans from 1992 2050, considering high emission scenario RCP8.5. We aim evaluating how river release projection affects...
Abstract This study provides a literature‐based comparative assessment of uncertainties and biases in global to world‐regional scale assessments current future coastal flood risks, considering mean extreme sea‐level hazards, the propagation these into floodplain, people assets exposed, their vulnerability. Globally, by far largest bias is introduced not human adaptation, which can lead an overestimation risk 2100 up factor 1300. But even when how societies will adapt rise dominate with 27...
Surface temperatures are generally higher in cities than rural surroundings. This phenomenon, known as Urban Heat Island (SUHI), increases the risk of heat-related human illnesses and mortality. Past global studies analysed this phenomenon aggregated at city scale or over seasonal annual time periods, while impacts strongly depend on shorter term heat stress experienced locally. Here we develop a long-term high-resolution dataset daytime SUHI, offering an insight into space–time variability...