Aldo M. Garay

ORCID: 0000-0002-4510-639X
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About
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Research Areas
  • Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
  • Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
  • Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
  • Statistical Methods and Inference
  • Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
  • Advanced Statistical Methods and Models
  • Survey Sampling and Estimation Techniques
  • Statistical and numerical algorithms
  • Economic and Environmental Valuation
  • Spectroscopy and Chemometric Analyses
  • Data Analysis with R
  • Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
  • Fault Detection and Control Systems
  • Soil Geostatistics and Mapping
  • Fuzzy Systems and Optimization
  • Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
  • Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
  • Market Dynamics and Volatility
  • Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

Universidade Federal de Pernambuco
2017-2024

Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
2010-2016

Centro Universitário da Cidade
2015

Universidade de São Paulo
2013

As is the case of many studies, data collected are limited and an exact value recorded only if it falls within interval range. Hence, responses can be either left, or right censored. Linear (and nonlinear) regression models routinely used to analyze these types based on normality assumptions for errors terms. However, those analyzes might not provide robust inference when questionable. In this article, we develop a Bayesian framework censored linear by replacing Gaussian random with scale...

10.1080/02664763.2015.1048671 article EN Journal of Applied Statistics 2015-08-09

In many studies, the data collected are subject to some upper and lower detection limits. Hence, responses either left or right censored. A complication arises when these continuous measures present heavy tails asymmetrical behavior; simultaneously. For such structures, we propose a robust-censored linear model based on scale mixtures of skew-normal (SMSN) distributions. The SMSN is an attractive class heavy-tailed densities that includes skew-normal, skew-t, skew-slash, skew-contaminated...

10.1080/02664763.2017.1408788 article EN Journal of Applied Statistics 2017-12-02

In acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) studies it is quite common to observe viral load measurements collected irregularly over time. Moreover, these can be subjected some upper and/or lower detection limits depending on the quantification assays. A complication arises when continuous repeated measures have a heavy-tailed behavior. For such data structures, we propose robust structure for censored linear model based multivariate Student’s t-distribution. To compensate autocorrelation...

10.1177/0962280214551191 article EN Statistical Methods in Medical Research 2014-10-08

AbstractThe purpose of this paper is to develop diagnostics analysis for nonlinear regression models (NLMs) under scale mixtures skew-normal (SMSN) distributions introduced by Garay et al. [Nonlinear based on SMSN distributions. J. Korean Statist. Soc. 2011;40:115–124]. This novel class provides a useful generalization the symmetrical NLM [Vanegas LH, Cysneiros FJA. Assessment diagnostic procedures in models. Comput. Data Anal. 2010;54:1002–1016] since random terms cover both symmetric as...

10.1080/00949655.2013.766188 article EN Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 2013-02-08

AbstractIn recent years, there has been considerable interest in regression models based on zero-inflated distributions. These are commonly encountered many disciplines, such as medicine, public health, and environmental sciences, among others. The Poisson (ZIP) model typically considered for these types of problems. However, the ZIP can fail if non-zero counts overdispersed relation to distribution, hence negative binomial (ZINB) may be more appropriate. In this paper, we present a Bayesian...

10.1080/02664763.2014.995610 article EN Journal of Applied Statistics 2015-01-06

In this work, we consider the problem of finding moments a doubly truncated member class scale mixtures skew-normal (TSMSN) distributions. We obtain general result and then use it to derive in case versions skew-normal, skew-t, skew-slash skew-contaminated normal Many properties TSMSN family are studied, inference procedures developed simulation study is performed assess procedures. Two applications also provided, one them context censored regression models another field actuarial sciences.

10.1214/19-bjps438 article EN Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics 2020-07-20

The heteroscedastic nonlinear regression model (HNLM) is an important tool in data modeling. In this paper we propose a HNLM considering skew scale mixtures of normal (SSMN) distributions, which allows fitting asymmetric and heavy-tailed simultaneously. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation performed via the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. observed information matrix derived analytically to account for standard errors. addition, diagnostic analysis developed using case-deletion...

10.1080/02664763.2019.1691158 article EN Journal of Applied Statistics 2019-11-11

Environmental data are often spatially correlated and sometimes include observations below or above detection limits (i.e., censored values reported as less more than a level of detection). Existing research studies mainly concentrate on parameter estimation using Gibbs sampling, most conducted from frequentist perspective in spatial models elusive. In this paper, we propose an exact procedure to obtain the maximum‐likelihood estimates fixed effects variance components, stochastic...

10.1002/env.2464 article EN Environmetrics 2017-09-05

In recent years, there has been a considerable interest to study count time series with dependence structure and appearance of excess zeros values. Such are commonly encountered in diverse disciplines, such as economics, financial research, environmental science, public health, among others. this paper, we propose stationary p-order integer-valued autoregressive process zero-inflated Poisson innovations, called the ZINAR(p) times model. We some its theoretical properties develop Markov chain...

10.1080/00949655.2020.1754819 article EN Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 2020-04-28

Mixed-effects models, with modifications to accommodate censored observations (LMEC/NLMEC), are routinely used analyze measurements, collected irregularly over time, which often subject some upper and lower detection limits. This paper presents a likelihood-based approach for fitting LMEC/NLMEC models autoregressive of order p dependence the error term. An EM-type algorithm is developed computing maximum likelihood estimates, obtaining as byproduct standard errors fixed effects value....

10.1080/10543406.2020.1852246 article EN Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics 2020-12-14

The purpose of this paper is to develop a practical framework for the analysis linear mixed-effects models censored or missing data with serial correlation errors, using multivariate Student’s t-distribution, being flexible alternative use corresponding normal distribution. We propose an efficient ECM algorithm computing maximum likelihood estimates these standard errors fixed effects and function as by-product. This uses closed-form expressions at E-step, which relies on formulas mean...

10.51387/24-nejsds68 article EN The New England Journal of Statistics in Data Science 2024-01-01
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