Paul E. Smaldino

ORCID: 0000-0002-7133-5620
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation
  • Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
  • Language and cultural evolution
  • Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
  • Evolutionary Psychology and Human Behavior
  • Complex Network Analysis Techniques
  • Cultural Differences and Values
  • scientometrics and bibliometrics research
  • Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
  • Complex Systems and Decision Making
  • Misinformation and Its Impacts
  • Social and Intergroup Psychology
  • Culture, Economy, and Development Studies
  • Species Distribution and Climate Change
  • Hate Speech and Cyberbullying Detection
  • Social Media and Politics
  • Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
  • Animal Behavior and Reproduction
  • Mental Health Research Topics
  • Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
  • Scientific Computing and Data Management
  • Philosophy and History of Science
  • Cognitive Science and Education Research
  • Game Theory and Applications
  • Cognitive Science and Mapping

University of California, Merced
2016-2025

Santa Fe Institute
2021-2025

Institute for Advanced Study
2022-2023

Stanford University
2022-2023

Google (United States)
2019-2023

University of California, Davis
2011-2022

Brunel University of London
2022

Johns Hopkins University
2011-2015

Executive Office of the President
2011

University of California Office of the President
2011

Poor research design and data analysis encourage false-positive findings. Such poor methods persist despite perennial calls for improvement, suggesting that they result from something more than just misunderstanding. The persistence of results partly incentives favour them, leading to the natural selection bad science. This dynamic requires no conscious strategizing-no deliberate cheating nor loafing-by scientists, only publication is a principal factor career advancement. Some normative...

10.1098/rsos.160384 article EN cc-by Royal Society Open Science 2016-09-01

Human cooperation is highly unusual. We live in large groups composed mostly of non-relatives. Evolutionists have proposed a number explanations for this pattern, including cultural group selection and extensions more general processes such as reciprocity, kin selection, multi-level acting on genes. Evolutionary are consilient; they affect several different empirical domains, patterns behavior the proximal drivers that behavior. In target article, we sketch evidence from five domains bear...

10.1017/s0140525x1400106x article EN Behavioral and Brain Sciences 2014-10-28

Abstract Many of the most important properties human groups – including that may give one group an evolutionary advantage over another are properly defined only at level organization. Yet present, work on evolution culture has focused solely transmission individual-level traits. I propose a conceptual extension theory cultural evolution, particularly related to competition between groups. The key concept in this is emergent group-level trait. This type trait characterized by structured...

10.1017/s0140525x13001544 article EN Behavioral and Brain Sciences 2014-06-01

On October 27th, 2022, Elon Musk purchased Twitter, becoming its new CEO and firing many top executives in the process. listed fewer restrictions on content moderation removal of spam bots among his goals for platform. Given findings prior research hate speech online communities, promise less strict poses concern that will rise Twitter. We examine levels prevalence before after Musk's acquisition find rose dramatically upon purchasing Twitter most types increased, while astroturf decreased.

10.1609/icwsm.v17i1.22222 article EN Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media 2023-06-02

Waring, T. M., M. A. Kline, J. S. Brooks, H. Goff, Gowdy, Janssen, P. E. Smaldino, and Jacquet. 2015. A multilevel evolutionary framework for sustainability analysis. Ecology Society 20(2): 34. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-07634-200234

10.5751/es-07634-200234 article EN cc-by Ecology and Society 2015-01-01

Many published research results are false, and controversy continues over the roles of replication publication policy in improving reliability research. Addressing these problems is frustrated by lack a formal framework that jointly represents hypothesis formation, replication, bias, variation quality. We develop mathematical model scientific discovery combines all elements. This provides both dynamic as well for reasoning about normative structure science. show may serve ratchet gradually...

10.1371/journal.pone.0136088 article EN cc-by PLoS ONE 2015-08-26

Abstract. Turning verbal theories into formal models is an essential business of a mature science. Here I elaborate on taxonomies models, provide ten lessons for translating theory model, and discuss the specific challenges involved in collaborations between modelers non-modelers. It’s start.

10.1027/1864-9335/a000425 article EN Social Psychology 2020-07-01

<p xmlns="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/JATS1">In the wake of replication crisis, there have been calls to increase clarity and precision theory in social sciences. Here, we argue that effects these may be limited due incentives favoring ambiguous theory. Intentionally or not, scientists can exploit theoretical ambiguities make support for a claim appear stronger than it is. Practices include stretching, interpreting an more expansively absorb data outside scope original claim, post-hoc...

10.32872/spb.9923 article EN cc-by Social Psychological Bulletin 2023-11-17

We use cultural evolutionary models to examine how individual experiences and culturally-inherited information jointly shape risk attitudes under environmental uncertainty. find that learning processes not only generate plausible variation in attitudes, but also conservative strategies---emphasizing the preservation of generational knowledge---excel high-risk environments, promoting stable wealth accumulation long-term survival limiting asset growth as conditions improve. In contrast,...

10.31235/osf.io/9yjes_v2 preprint EN 2025-01-31

It has long been proposed that cooperation should increase in harsh environments, but this claim still lacks theoretical underpinnings. We modeled a scenario which benefiting from altruistic behavior was essential to survival and reproduction. used spatial agent-based model represent mutual enforced by environmental adversity. studied two factors, the cost of unreciprocated living, highlight conflict between short- long-term rewards cooperation. In run, is favored because only groups with...

10.1086/669615 article EN The American Naturalist 2013-02-19

Humans regularly solve complex problems in cooperative teams. A wide range of mechanisms have been identified that improve the quality solutions achieved by those teams on reaching consensus. We argue many these work via increasing

10.1177/17456916231180100 article EN cc-by Perspectives on Psychological Science 2023-06-27

Recent research has revived Long's "ecology of games" model to analyze how social actors cooperate in the context multiple political and games. However, there is still a paucity theoretical work that considers mechanisms by which large-scale cooperation can be promoted dynamic institutional landscape, join new games leave old ones. This paper develops an agent-based ecology where agents participate public goods In addition contribution decisions, different games, these processes are...

10.1371/journal.pone.0023019 article EN cc-by PLoS ONE 2011-08-05

Many social phenomena do not result solely from intentional actions by isolated individuals, but rather emerge as the of repeated interactions among multiple individuals over time. However, such are often poorly captured traditional empirical techniques. Moreover, complex adaptive systems insufficiently described verbal models. In this paper, we discuss how organizational psychologists and group dynamics researchers may benefit adoption formal modeling, particularly agent-based for...

10.1177/2041386614546944 article EN Organizational Psychology Review 2015-10-05

Disease transmission and behaviour change are both fundamentally social phenomena. Behaviour can have profound consequences for disease transmission, epidemic conditions favour the more rapid adoption of behavioural innovations. We analyse a simple model coupled infection in structured population characterised by homophily outgroup aversion. Outgroup aversion slows rate lead to lower rates later-adopting group or even divergence between groups when exceeds positive ingroup influence. When...

10.1017/ehs.2021.22 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Evolutionary Human Sciences 2021-01-01

SignificanceMuch of online conversation today consists signaling one's political identity. Although many signals are obvious to everyone, others covert, recognizable ingroup while obscured from the outgroup. This type covert identity is critical for collaborations in a diverse society, but measuring has been difficult, slowing down theoretical development. We develop method detect and overt tweets posted before 2020 US presidential election use behavioral experiment test predictions...

10.1073/pnas.2117898119 article EN cc-by Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2022-03-03

When a population exhibits collective cognitive alignment, such that group members tend to perceive, remember, and reproduce information in similar ways, the features of socially transmitted variants (i.e., artifacts, behaviors) may converge over time towards culture-specific equilibria points, often called cultural attractors. Because cognition be plastic, shaped through experience with products others, alignment stable attractors cannot always taken for granted, but little is known about...

10.1111/cogs.13183 article EN Cognitive Science 2022-08-01
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