- Water resources management and optimization
- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Impact of Light on Environment and Health
- Housing Market and Economics
- Transboundary Water Resource Management
- Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
- Complex Systems and Decision Making
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
- Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Geophysical and Geoelectrical Methods
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Simulation Techniques and Applications
- Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis
- Advanced MEMS and NEMS Technologies
- Smart Grid Energy Management
- Marine and Coastal Research
- Urban Green Space and Health
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
2014-2024
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
2023
Government of the United States of America
2023
ORCID
2022
Stanford University
2015-2018
Palo Alto University
2018
Limited water availability, population growth, and climate change have resulted in freshwater crises many countries. Jordan's situation is emblematic, compounded by conflict-induced shocks. Integrating knowledge across hydrology, climatology, agriculture, political science, geography, economics, we present the Jordan Water Model, a nationwide coupled human-natural-engineered systems model that used to evaluate security under socioeconomic changes. The complex simulates trajectory of system,...
Abstract The field of MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) explores the dynamics and co‐evolutionary pathways human Earth systems with a focus on critical goods, services, amenities delivered to people through interdependent sectors. This commentary lays out core definitions concepts, identifies MSD science questions in context current state knowledge, describes ongoing activities expand capacities for open science, leverage revolutions data computing, grow diversify workforce. Central our vision is...
Significance The notion that sudden impacts on shared international waters can be detected and quantified, even in a war zone, is important to scientists policy makers, who have been stifled the past by inaccessibility such regions consequent inability collect relevant data. Our study uses satellite imagery of war-torn Syria, showing how conflict migration caused reductions Syrian agricultural land use water use. An unexpected effect was increased flow Yarmouk River Jordan, which nonetheless...
Abstract Scarce and unreliable urban water supply in many countries has caused municipal users to rely on transfers from rural wells via unregulated markets. Assessments of this pervasive re-allocation institution its impacts aquifers, consumer equity affordability are lacking. We present a rigorous coupled human–natural system analysis rural-to-urban tanker market demand Jordan, quintessential example nation relying heavily such markets, fed by predominantly illegal abstractions. Employing...
Abstract The role of individual and collective human action is increasingly recognized as a prominent arguably paramount determinant in shaping the behavior, trajectory, vulnerability multisector systems. This influence operates at multiple scales: from short‐term (hourly to daily) long‐term (annually centennial) timescales, local global, pushing systems toward either desirable or undesirable outcomes. However, effort represent models has been fragmented across philosophical, methodological,...
Abstract. Large-scale hydrological models (LHMs) are commonly used for regional and global assessment of future water shortage outcomes under climate socioeconomic scenarios. The irrigation croplands, which accounts the lion's share human consumption, is critical in understanding these trajectories. Despite irrigation's defining role, LHM frameworks typically impose trajectories land use that underlie demand, neglecting potential dynamic feedbacks form instigation subsequent adaptation to...
Abstract. Groundwater plays a key role in meeting water demands, supplying over 40 % of irrigation globally, with this likely to grow as demands and surface variability increase. A better understanding the future groundwater sectoral requires an integrated hydro-economic evaluation its cost availability. Yet substantial gaps remain our knowledge modeling capabilities related availability, recharge, feasible locations for extraction, extractable volumes, associated extraction costs, which are...
Modelling managed resource systems can involve the integration of multiple software modules into a single codebase. These are often written by non-software specialists, using heterogeneous terminologies and modelling approaches. One approach to model is use central structure which each external module connects. This common interface acts as an agreed mode communication for all contributors. We propose Python Network Simulation (Pynsim) Framework, open-source library building simulation...
Abstract Jordan, with limited rainfall, has per capita water availability of 135 m 3 /yr making it one the water‐poorest countries in world. We analyzed most comprehensive modern rainfall data set to date, consisting 44 years daily measurements from 58 stations primarily western, populated and agricultural portion Jordan over period 1970–2013 assess temporal trends, variability, spatial patterns. From 1995 2013, 13 19 showed less than mean, which a probability <8.35% chance occurrence....
Climate change impacts on water resources in the United States are likely to be far-reaching and substantial because is integral climate, sector spans many parts of economy. This paper estimates damages from five resource-related models addressing runoff, drought risk, economics supply/demand, stress, flooding damages. The differ system assessed, spatial scale, unit assessment, but together provide a quantitative descriptive richness characterizing effects that no single model can capture....
The estimation of spatially-variable actual evapotranspiration (AET) is a critical challenge to regional water resources management. We propose new remote sensing method, the Triangle Algorithm with Variable Edges (TAVE), generate daily AET estimates based on satellite-derived land surface temperature and vegetation index NDVI. TAVE captures heterogeneity in across elevation zones permits variability determining local values wet dry end-member classes (known as edges). Compared traditional...
Population downscaling and interpolation methods are required to produce data which correspond spatial units used in urban planning, demography, environmental modeling. typically aggregated at census enumeration units, can have arbitrary, temporally-evolving boundaries. Previous approaches imperviousness-based dasymetric mapping ignore cell-level patterning of imperviousness within a unit prediction, potentially serve as strong indicator population. Landscape metrics derived from offer...
Multi-temporal and spatially explicit population data are vital in many fields, such as demography, urban planning, disaster prevention,economics, environmental modeling. Population used these studies typically aggregated at census enumeration units, which too coarse for applications. Accurate downscaling methods needed to obtain finer spatial resolutions. We use a novel settlement-related database, Built-Up Property Records (BUPR) from the Historical Settlement Data Compilation United...
Water resources model development and simulation efforts have seen rapid growth in recent decades to aid evaluations planning around water scarcity allocation. Models are typically developed by two distinct communities: (1) large-scale hydrologic modelers emphasizing hydroclimatological processes, (2) systems environmental, infrastructural, institutional features that shape at the local basin level. This study assesses whether representative models from these communities produce consistent...
Thurber et al., (2021). mosartwmpy: A Python implementation of the MOSART-WM coupled hydrologic routing and water management model. Journal Open Source Software, 6(62), 3221, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.03221
Earth and Space Science Open Archive This work has been accepted for publication in Earth's Future. Version of RecordESSOAr is a venue early communication or feedback before peer review. Data may be preliminary. Learn more about preprints. preprintOpen AccessYou are viewing the latest version by default [v1]MultiSector Dynamics: Advancing Complex Adaptive Human-Earth SystemsAuthorsPatrick M.ReediDAntoniaHadjimichaeliDRichard HMossiDChristaBrelsfordCasey...
Unreliable and unequal public water supply already affects around one billion urban residents the world. In many cities, informal markets have emerged to fill gaps by delivering via tanker trucks, depleting scarce rural groundwater sources. A quintessential example of this can be found in highly water-scarce country Jordan. Jordan, intermittent rapid growth led a surge uncontrolled abstractions pervasive illegal markets. Here, we use rigorous coupled human-natural systems model assess range...
Abstract. Groundwater plays a key role in meeting water demands, supplying over 40 % of irrigation globally, with this likely to grow as demands and surface variability increase. A better understanding the future groundwater sectoral requires an integrated hydro-economic evaluation its cost availability. Yet substantial gaps remain our knowledge modeling capabilities related availability, feasible locations for extraction, extractable volumes, associated extraction costs, which are essential...