Andrey Kalugin

ORCID: 0000-0002-9427-7638
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About
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Research Areas
  • Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
  • Water Resources and Management
  • Climate change and permafrost
  • Aquatic and Environmental Studies
  • Cryospheric studies and observations
  • Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
  • Flood Risk Assessment and Management
  • Geological Studies and Exploration
  • Marine and environmental studies
  • Soil and Water Nutrient Dynamics
  • Climate variability and models
  • Soil erosion and sediment transport
  • Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
  • Soil and Environmental Studies
  • Water resources management and optimization
  • Groundwater flow and contamination studies
  • Hydrology and Drought Analysis
  • Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
  • Archaeology and ancient environmental studies
  • Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
  • Research Data Management Practices
  • Environmental Monitoring and Data Management

Institute of Water Problems
2015-2024

Russian Academy of Sciences
2014

Abstract. It has been well established that during the late Quaternary, Khvalynian transgression of Caspian Sea occurred, when sea level rose tens meters above present level. Here, we evaluate physical feasibility hypothesis maximum phase this extraordinary event (known as “Early transgression”) could be initiated and maintained for several thousand years solely by hydroclimatic factors. The is based on recent studies dating highest stage (well +10 m a.s.l.) to final period deglaciation,...

10.5194/hess-28-241-2024 article EN cc-by Hydrology and earth system sciences 2024-01-17

Using the physically-based model of runoff formation ECOMAG (ECOlogical Model for Applied Geophysics), response Kolyma River’s water regime to ongoing and projected climate changes has been investigated. To operate model, which calculates daily discharges control sections, information was gathered on characteristics land surface watershed relief, as well archives observations from meteorological stations within basin. The calibration validation performed two sections River its tributaries –...

10.24057/2071-9388-2025-3482 article EN cc-by GEOGRAPHY ENVIRONMENT SUSTAINABILITY 2025-04-07

The main goal of this study was to obtain the attribution results a physical assessment modern hydrological consequences separately natural and anthropogenic components climate change, based on synthesis detailed process-based models river runoff formation an ensemble Earth system (ESMs) within large basins in Eastern Siberia. This approach allows calculating flow using ESM-based data over observation period under two scenarios, considering: (1) impact increasing greenhouse gas emissions (2)...

10.3390/w14010118 article EN Water 2022-01-05

The main goal of this study was to obtain new results on the physically based future hydrological consequences climate change in Amur, Lena, and Selenga River basins by using data from an ensemble global (general circulation) models (GCMs) as boundary conditions spatially distributed, process-based runoff formation models. This approach provides a basis for more detailed comparison sensitivity systems neighboring large river Eastern Siberia Far East. greatest increases annual flow are...

10.3390/w14040609 article EN Water 2022-02-17

This study is focused on the comparison of streamflow composition simulated with three well-known rainfall–runoff (RR) models (ECOMAG, HBV, SWAT) against hydrograph decomposition evaluated End-Member Mixing Analysis (EMMA). In situ observations at two small mountain testbed catchments located in south Pacific Russia are used. All applied RR and EMMA analysis demonstrate that neighboring disagree significantly mutual dynamics runoff sources. The models' benchmark test based proximity to...

10.3390/w15040752 article EN Water 2023-02-14

The idea of the research to assess impact 1.5 °C and 2 global warming in 21st century on runoff formation Volga basin corresponds Paris agreement climate change 2016 with main goal keep air temperature rise below relative pre-industrial level take measures limit by end century. purpose this study was obtain physically based results changes water regime rivers under values. physical mathematical model generation ECOMAG (ECOlogical Model for Applied Geophysics) applied calculations using data...

10.3390/cli10070107 article EN Climate 2022-07-15

The purpose of the study was to analyze formation conditions catastrophic floods in Iya River basin over observation period, as well a long-term forecast impacts future climate change on characteristics high flow 21st century. semi-distributed process-based Ecological Model for Applied Geophysics (ECOMAG) applied basin. Successful model testing results were obtained daily discharge, annual peak and discharges exceeding critical water level threshold multiyear period 1970–2019. Modeling...

10.3390/w13081042 article EN Water 2021-04-10

This paper considers the main principles and technologies used in developing operational modeling system for Ussuri River Basin of 24,400 km2 based on automated hydrological monitoring data management (ASHM), physical-mathematical model with distributed parameters ECOMAG (ECOlogical Model Applied Geophysics) numerical mesoscale atmosphere WRF (Weather Research Forecasting Model). The is designed as a freely combined tool that allows flexible changing forecasting informational components....

10.3390/geosciences8010005 article EN cc-by Geosciences 2017-12-29

The hydrological model ECOMAG was used to calculate runoff characteristics in the main arctic (Northern Dvina and Pechora) southern (Don Kuban) river basins of Eastern Europe using data from ensemble global climate models under scenario 1.5 2 °C warming 21st century relative pre-industrial values. Flow generation were calibrated validated based on measurements at gauging stations meteorological observation data. According results numerical experiments, change European Russia increases north...

10.3390/cli11050103 article EN Climate 2023-05-09
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