A5091032318- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Agricultural Innovations and Practices
- Genetically Modified Organisms Research
- Soybean genetics and cultivation
- Agricultural pest management studies
- Climate variability and models
- Agricultural risk and resilience
- Disaster Management and Resilience
- Plant responses to elevated CO2
- Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
- Coastal and Marine Dynamics
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Sustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis
- Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Water resources management and optimization
- Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Rice Cultivation and Yield Improvement
- Climate Change and Sustainable Development
- Distributed systems and fault tolerance
- Optimization and Search Problems
- Cloud Computing and Resource Management
- Public Relations and Crisis Communication
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
2021-2025
Deltares
2021-2024
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina
2023
Politecnico di Milano
2020
Abstract. Unfavourable weather is a common cause for crop failures all over the world. Whilst extreme conditions may impacts, failure commonly induced by occurrence of multiple and combined anomalous meteorological drivers. For these cases, explanation leading to complex, as links connecting yield can be non-linear. Furthermore, climate change likely perturb conditions, possibly altering occurrences or unprecedented drivers impacts. The goal this study identify important that explore changes...
Abstract While soybeans are among the most consumed crops in world, of its production lies US, Brazil, and Argentina. The concentration soybean growing regions Americas renders supply chain vulnerable to regional disruptions. In 2012, anomalous hot dry conditions occurring simultaneously these led low yields, which drove global prices all‐time records. this study, we explore climate change impacts on simultaneous extreme crop failures as one from 2012. We develop a hybrid model, coupling...
Quote: "What I hear, forget. What see, remember. do, understand." (Xunzi, ∼300 BCE). Modelling complex interactions involving climatic features, socio-economic vulnerability or responses, and long impact transmissions is associated with substantial uncertainty. Physical climate storylines are proposed as an approach to explore transmission pathways possible alternative unfoldings of event cascades under future conditions. These particularly useful for risk assessment domains, including...
Abstract. High impact events like Hurricane Sandy (2012) significantly affect society and decision-making around weather/climate adaptation. Our understanding of the potential effects such is limited to their rare historical occurrences. Climate change might alter these an extent that current adaptation responses become insufficient. Furthermore, internal climate variability in also lead slightly different with possible larger societal impacts. Therefore, exploring high under conditions...
As climate change intensifies, coastal communities face growing threats from tropical cyclones and rising seas. These need practical ways to plan their adaptation strategies. Our study presents a new approach that integrates storyline analysis with local planning. For that, we combine different scenarios modelling framework allows cascading hydrometeorological conditions flood hazards socio-economic impacts (including exposure vulnerability information). We adopt as case cyclone Idai's...
This paper concisely reviews checkpointing techniques in distributed systems, focusing on various aspects such as coordinated and uncoordinated checkpointing, incremental checkpoints, fuzzy adaptive checkpoint intervals, kernel-based user-space checkpoints. The review highlights interesting points, outlines how each approach works, discusses their advantages drawbacks. It also provides a brief overview of the adoption checkpoints different contexts computing, including Database Management...
The United States (US), Brazil, and Argentina collectively produce about 75% of the world's soybean supply. In 2012, crops failed in these three major producing regions due to spatially compound hot dry weather across North South America. This led unprecedented shortages global supply, resulting record-high market prices. Despite severity this event, role historical future anthropogenic warming influencing such occurrences remains unknown. Here, we present different impact storylines 2012...
Abstract. Unfavourable weather is a common cause for crop failures all over the world. Whilst extreme conditions may impacts, failure commonly induced by occurrence of multiple and combined anomalous meteorological drivers. For these cases, explanation leading to complex, as links connecting yield can be non-linear. Furthermore, climate change likely perturb conditions, possibly altering occurrences or unprecedented drivers impacts. The goal this study identify important that explore changes...
While high impact weather events pose considerable challenges to society, we have limited understanding of their risks and potential impacts due rare nature. Climate change, in combination with internal climate variability, increases the uncertainty around these future. Storylines offer a non-probabilistic approach into estimating such conditioned on specific assumptions scenarios, as change variability. Our study presents storylines Hurricane Sandy (2012) assess compound coastal flooding's...
Coastal settlements, facing increasing flood risk from Tropical Cyclones (TCs) under climate change, need local and detailed information for effective adaptation. Analysis of historical events their impacts provides such information. This study uses storylines to evaluate adaptation strategies, focusing on Cyclone Idai’s impact Beira, Mozambique, different conditions tidal cycles. A storyline Idai 3°C warming increases by 1.8 times, while aligning with spring tides...
Abstract. High impact events like Hurricane Sandy (2012) significantly affect society and decision-making around weather/climate adaptation. Our understanding of the potential effects such is limited to their rare historical occurrences. Climate change might alter these an extent that current adaptation responses become insufficient. Furthermore, internal climate variability in also lead slightly different with possible larger societal impacts. Therefore, exploring high under conditions...
Complex interactions involving climatic features, socio-economic vulnerability or responses, and long impact transmissions are associated with substantial uncertainty. Physical climate storylines proposed as approach to explore complex transmission pathways possible alternative unfolding of event cascades under future conditions. These particularly useful for risk assessment domains, including crossing multiple disciplinary geographical borders. For an effective role in risks assessments,...
Disseminating the effects of climate change and its potential future impacts to a wider audience is demanding task, yet great importance society. Moreover, quantifying causal chains emerging from global warming often impeded by growth unknown parameters related modeling socio-economic responses. One method obtain insights into complex consequences use physical storylines. Conceptually, storylines correspond reasonable choices for unknowns within modeled impact transmission chain. They allow...
Soybeans are globally used as the main source of protein for livestock. However, most soybean production is concentrated in regions The United States America, Brazil and Argentina, rendering supply chain vulnerable to regional disruptions. In 2012, simultaneous losses these three countries led shortages global supplies record prices. were linked anomalous weather conditions all countries. this experiment, we investigate how climate change may affect future events with similar or larger...
<p>Climate change is expected to increase the variability of hydrological regimes, generating more recurrent and intense floods droughts. This trend will very likely diminish resilience reservoir systems in supplying water, controlling floods, energy. While forecast information has proven valuable for improving water operations under stationary hydroclimatic conditions, little known about its potential value variable regimes capacity mitigating increased risks. In this work, we...
<p>Meteorological conditions can affect crop development and yield in multiple non-linear ways. Many studies have investigated the influence of climate change on crops by simulating responses to most likely mean climatic projections future. However, this approach potentially overlook changes extreme-impact events, highly relevant for society, due their low probability occurrence potential different behaviour with respect conditions. One way focusing events is through use...