A5006571152- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Disaster Management and Resilience
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems
- ICT in Developing Communities
- Tree-ring climate responses
- Complex Network Analysis Techniques
- Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
- Land Use and Ecosystem Services
University of Bristol
2019-2023
In many African countries, the response to climate change is obstructed by a lack of accessible and usable information, such as localised flood maps. Compounding this, current disaster risk management systems often fail account for context-specific drivers social vulnerability environmental risks, crucial enhancing resilience impacts. This paper captures community-based narratives in Lusaka, Zambia. Using well-established network from Future Resilience Cities And Lands (FRACTAL) group,...
Abstract Kenya and the wider East African region suffer from significant flood risk, as illustrated by major losses of lives, livelihoods assets in most recent years. This is likely to increase future exposure rises rainfall intensifies under climate change. Accordingly, risk management a priority action area Kenya's national change adaptation planning. Here, we outline opportunities challenges improve end‐to‐end early warning systems, considering scientific, technical...
Abstract. This paper uses a coupled hydrodynamic agent-based model (HABM) to investigate the effect of direct or indirect warnings in flood incident response. LISFLOOD-FP and NetLogo framework is applied 2005 event Carlisle, UK. The provides realistic simulation detailed dynamics through event, whilst component enables analysis complex, in-event social alternative probabilistic daily routine agent choice scenarios for individuals Carlisle be simulated fashion with inundation. Specifically,...
Abstract Using modified UK Environment Agency Flood Estimation Handbook techniques, inundation extent and likely flood hydrographs for 0.1% probability annual return periods are compared twelve Roman town sites in the UK, both at present day simulated catchment conditions. Eight of study appear to have suffered minimal urban liability as occupied period. The exceptions were Canterbury, York, Leicester, Chichester. It is reasonable expect characteristics changed subsequently response...
Physically, river floodplains have both the subdued morphology of natural terrain created as extreme discharges and sediments pass through catchment drainage systems and, to an increasing extent, forms that arise from purposeful human constructions. Together, these direct out-of-channel inundation. As defined here, ‘territories’ their humanly constructed physical historically consumed or modified naturally ‘terrains’ in a collection actions we summarize ‘morphophagia’. A more inclusive...
Abstract. This paper presents a new flood risk behaviour model developed using coupled Hydrodynamic Agent-Based Model (HABM). uses the LISFLOOD-FP and NetLogo (NL) agent-based framework is applied to 2005 event in Carlisle, UK. The hydrodynamic provides realistic simulation of detailed dynamics through whilst component enables analysis complex, in-event social response. alternative probabilistic daily routine agent choice scenarios for individuals Carlisle be simulated fashion with...
This paper recognises the complexity of hazard situations and responses, but also that adaptive actions overall may be simulated from individual or 'agent' behaviours through using agent-based models (ABMs).On physical side, hydrodynamic behaviour can have an equivalent concern for local detailed topographic modelling
This paper attempts to present an integrated hydraulic-ABM model for modelling individual behaviour during flooding.Human interventions could significantly affect flood risk even event, especially in densely populated urban areas.This research represents encouraging attempt develop approach human activities C1 NHESSD Interactive comment Printer-friendly version Discussion paperin the city of Carlisle a event 2005, which is innovative and necessary step forward assessment.But at its current...
This paper proposed an innovative approach to represent the complex human behaviour during flood evacuation in Carlisle by combining a hydraulic model (LISFLOOD-FP) and Agent-Based Model (NetLogo).I have really liked idea of using Bass Diffusion agent's flooding.The results this study demonstrated importance holistic management purposes.Overall, I enjoyed reading found manuscript well
<p>Dissemination of early warning information and effective preparedness are critical components in flood risk management shape the dynamics any successful response. To enable efficient an response to hazards, should be simple, usable, deployed through trusted sources.</p><p>Successful floods therefore dependent on clear systematic communication structures which are, turn, necessary dissemination such information. However, many parts Africa, event is...