- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Agricultural risk and resilience
- Global Health Care Issues
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Water resources management and optimization
- Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Wildlife Conservation and Criminology Analyses
- Child Nutrition and Water Access
- Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Precipitation Measurement and Analysis
- Computational Physics and Python Applications
- Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Global Energy Security and Policy
- Birth, Development, and Health
- Economic Growth and Productivity
- Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Employment and Welfare Studies
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Qualitative Comparative Analysis Research
- Environmental Philosophy and Ethics
National Bureau of Economic Research
2014-2024
University of Chicago
2015-2024
Chicago Department of Public Health
2018-2024
London School of Economics and Political Science
2024
Paris School of Economics
2024
University of Warwick
2022
South University
2015-2016
Columbia University
2011-2014
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
2014
University of California, Berkeley
2014
Costing out the effects of climate change Episodes severe weather in United States, such as present abundance rainfall California, are brandished tangible evidence future costs current trends. Hsiang et al. collected national data documenting responses six economic sectors to short-term fluctuations. These were integrated with probabilistic distributions from a set global models and used estimate during remainder this century across range scenarios (see Perspective by Pizer). In terms...
Abstract Using 40 countries’ subnational data, we estimate age-specific mortality-temperature relationships and extrapolate them to countries without data today into a future with climate change. We uncover U-shaped relationship where extre6me cold hot temperatures increase mortality rates, especially for the elderly. Critically, this is flattened by higher incomes adaptation local climate. revealed-preference approach recover unobserved costs, that mean global in risk due change, accounting...
A long history of household-level research has provided important local-level insights into climate adaptation strategies in the agricultural sector. It remains unclear to what extent these are generalizable or vary across regions. In this study we ask about three potential key factors influencing farming households' ability adapt: access weather information, household and production-related assets, participation local social institutions. We use a 12-country data set from sub-Saharan Africa...
Rising inequalities and accelerating global environmental change pose two of the most pressing challenges twenty-first century. To explore how these phenomena are linked, we apply a social-ecological systems perspective review literature to identify six different types interactions (or “pathways”) between inequality biosphere. We find that research so far has only considered one-directional effects on biosphere, or vice versa. However, given potential for complex dynamics socioeconomic...
Climate change threatens global food systems, but the extent to which adaptation will reduce losses remains unknown. Here, we empirically estimate net impact of producer adaptations around world using longitudinal data on six staple crops spanning 12,658 sub-national units, capturing two-thirds crop calories. We project that and income growth nearly halve at end-of-century, substantial residual remain for all staples except rice. Global damages are dominated by modern-day breadbaskets...
A burgeoning “Climate-Economy” literature has uncovered many effects of changes in temperature and precipitation on economic activity, but made considerably less progress modeling the other associated phenomena, like natural disasters. We develop new, objective data floods, focusing Bangladesh. show that rainfall self-reported exposure are weak proxies for true flood exposure. These allow us to study adaptation, giving accurate measures both long-term averages short term variation This is...
In this short communication, we estimate that California's wildfire carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) emissions from 2020 are approximately two times higher than total greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions since 2003. Without considering future vegetation regrowth, CO2e the wildfires could be second most important source in state above either industry or electrical power generation. Regrowth may partly of fully occur over a long period, but due to exigencies climate crisis regrowth will...
Yackulic, C. B., M. Fagan, Jain, A. Jina, Y. Lim, Marlier, R. Muscarella, P. Adame, DeFries, and Uriarte. 2011. Biophysical socioeconomic factors associated with forest transitions at multiple spatial temporal scales. Ecology Society 16(3): 15. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-04275-160315
Climate change increases weather variability, exacerbating agricultural risk in poor countries. Risk-averse farmers are unable to tailor their planting decisions the coming season, and underinvest profitable inputs. Accurate, long-range forecasts enable optimize for season ahead. We experimentally evaluate monsoon onset India, randomizing 250 villages into control; a forecast group receiving information well advance of onset; benchmark index insurance group. Forecast update beliefs behavior:...
Using 40 countries' subnational data, we estimate age-specific mortality-temperature relationships and extrapolate them to countries without data today into a future with climate change. We uncover U-shaped relationship where extreme cold hot temperatures increase mortality rates, especially for the elderly. Critically, this is flattened by both higher incomes adaptation local climate. revealed preference approach recover unobserved costs, that mean global in risk due change, accounting...
Abstract The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a principal component of global climate variability known to influence host social and economic outcomes, but its systematic effects on human health remain poorly understood. We estimate ENSO’s association with child nutrition at scale by combining variation in ENSO intensity from 1986-2018 children’s height weight 186 surveys conducted 51 teleconnected countries, containing 48% the world’s under-5 population. Warmer conditions predict...
This paper develops the first globally comprehensive and empirically grounded estimates of worker disutility due to future temperature increases caused by climate change. Harmonizing daily worker-level data from seven countries representing nearly a third world's population, we evaluate causal effect on labor supply, recovering an inverted U-shaped relationship where extreme cold hot temperatures lead supply losses for workers in weather-exposed industries. We then develop micro-founded,...
It has been proposed that geography influences economic growth for many reasons. Previous analyses of comparative development seem to have sidestepped the question location-dependent depreciation. However construction new measures tropical cyclone exposure enables us consider potential impact this single source capital Using an estimate asset destruction due cyclones, we identify “sandcastle depreciation” rate, and find support depreciation by looking at average rates. This leads propose...
Using 40 countries’ subnational data, we estimate age-specific mortality-temperature relationships and extrapolate them to countries without data today into a future with climate change. We uncover U-shaped relationship where extreme cold hot temperatures increase mortality rates, especially for the elderly. Critically, this is flattened by both higher incomes adaptation local climate. revealed preference approach recover unobserved costs, that mean global in risk due change, accounting...