Manuel Schlund

ORCID: 0000-0001-5251-0158
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Climate variability and models
  • Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
  • Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
  • Distributed and Parallel Computing Systems
  • Methane Hydrates and Related Phenomena
  • Scientific Computing and Data Management
  • Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
  • Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
  • Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications
  • Scientific Research and Discoveries
  • Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
  • Computational Physics and Python Applications
  • Climate Change Policy and Economics
  • Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
  • Advanced Data Processing Techniques
  • Geological Modeling and Analysis
  • Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis
  • Healthcare Systems and Challenges
  • Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
  • Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses
  • Clinical Nutrition and Gastroenterology
  • Science and Climate Studies
  • Seismology and Earthquake Studies
  • Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
  • Neural Networks and Applications

Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e. V. (DLR)
2019-2025

Dienstleistungszentrum Ländlicher Raum
2021

Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya
2020

Barcelona Supercomputing Center
2020

Plymouth Marine Laboratory
2019

Abstract More than 40 model groups worldwide are participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), providing a new and rich source of information to better understand past, present, future climate change. Here, we use Earth System Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) assess performance CMIP6 ensemble compared previous generations CMIP3 CMIP5. While CMIP5 models did not capture observed pause increase global mean surface temperature between 1998 2013, historical simulations...

10.1029/2019jd032321 article EN cc-by Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres 2020-10-19

Abstract. An important metric for temperature projections is the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), which defined as global mean surface air change caused by a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration. The range ECS assessed Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report between 1.5 and 4.5 K has not decreased over last decades. Among other methods, emergent constraints are potentially promising approaches to reduce combining observations output from Earth...

10.5194/esd-11-1233-2020 article EN cc-by Earth System Dynamics 2020-12-21

Abstract. The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) is a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool designed to improve comprehensive routine evaluation of system models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP). It has undergone rapid development since first release 2016 now well-tested that provides end-to-end provenance tracking ensure reproducibility. consists (1) an easy-to-install, well-documented Python package providing core functionalities...

10.5194/gmd-13-3383-2020 article EN cc-by Geoscientific model development 2020-07-30

Abstract. This paper describes the second major release of Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for evaluation system models (ESMs) participating in Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP). Compared to version 1.0, released 2016, ESMValTool 2.0 (v2.0) features brand new design, with an improved interface revised preprocessor. It also significantly enhanced part that is described three companion papers. The has been specifically...

10.5194/gmd-13-1179-2020 article EN cc-by Geoscientific model development 2020-03-16

Abstract. Improvements in the representation of land carbon cycle Earth system models participating Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) include interactive treatment both and nitrogen cycles, improved photosynthesis, soil hydrology. To assess impact these model developments on aspects global cycle, System Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) is expanded to compare CO2 concentration emission driven historical simulations from CMIP5 CMIP6 observational data sets. A particular focus...

10.5194/egusphere-2024-277 preprint EN cc-by 2024-03-04

Abstract. This paper complements a series of now four publications that document the release Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0. It describes new diagnostics on hydrological cycle, extreme events, impact assessment, regional evaluations, and ensemble member selection. The are developed by large community scientists aiming to facilitate evaluation comparison system models (ESMs) which participating in Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP). second this tool aims support ESMs...

10.5194/gmd-14-3159-2021 article EN cc-by Geoscientific model development 2021-06-03

Abstract The terrestrial biosphere is currently slowing down global warming by absorbing about 30% of human emissions carbon dioxide (CO 2 ). largest flux the uptake gross primary production (GPP) defined as carbohydrates photosynthesis. Elevated atmospheric CO concentration expected to increase GPP (“CO fertilization effect”). However, Earth system models (ESMs) exhibit a large range in simulated projections. In this study, we combine an existing emergent constraint on with machine learning...

10.1029/2019jg005619 article EN cc-by Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences 2020-10-27

Abstract. The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool for evaluation analysis of system models (ESMs), is designed to facilitate more comprehensive rapid comparison single or multiple participating in the Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP). ESM results can be compared against observations reanalysis data as well other including predecessor versions same model. updated extended version (v2.0) ESMValTool includes several new...

10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020 article EN cc-by Geoscientific model development 2020-09-10

Abstract. Simulation of the carbon cycle in climate models is important due to its impact on change, but many weaknesses reproduction were found previous models. Improvements representation land Earth system (ESMs) participating Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) include interactive treatment both and nitrogen cycles, improved photosynthesis, soil hydrology. To assess these model developments aspects global cycle, System Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) expanded compare...

10.5194/bg-21-5321-2024 article EN cc-by Biogeosciences 2024-11-28

Simulation of the carbon cycle in climate models is important due to its impact on change, but many weaknesses reproduction were found previous models. Improvements representation land Earth system (ESMs) participating Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) include interactive treatment both and nitrogen cycles, improved photosynthesis, soil hydrology. To assess these model developments aspects global cycle, System Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) expanded compare...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-10017 preprint EN 2025-03-14

Abstract. Earth System Models (ESMs) allow numerical simulations of the Earth's climate system. Driven by need to better understand change and its impacts, these models have become increasingly sophisticated over time, generating vast amounts data. To effectively evaluate complex state-of-the-art ESMs ensure their reliability, new tools for comprehensive analysis are essential. The open-source community-driven Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) addresses this critical providing a software...

10.5194/gmd-2024-236 preprint EN cc-by 2025-01-15

Abstract. Earth system models (ESMs) are important tools to improve our understanding of present-day climate and project change under different plausible future scenarios. Thus, ESMs continuously improved extended, resulting in more complex models. Particularly during the model development phase, it is monitor how well historical reproduced systematically analyze, evaluate, understand, document possible shortcomings. Hence, putting biases relative observations or, for example, a...

10.5194/gmd-18-1169-2025 article EN cc-by Geoscientific model development 2025-02-27

Earth System Models (ESMs) are fundamental to understanding and projecting climate change. While they have demonstrated continuous improvements over the last decades, systematic errors large uncertainties in their projections remain. A contribution these stems from representation of unresolved processes such as clouds convection that occur at scales smaller than model grid spacing. This impacts models’ ability accurately project global regional change, variability, extremes....

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17999 preprint EN 2025-03-15

Abstract. An important metric for temperature projections is the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) which defined as global mean surface air change caused by a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration. The range ECS assessed Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report between 1.5 and 4.5 K has not decreased over last decades. Among other methods, emergent constraints are potentially promising approaches to reduce combining observations output from Earth...

10.5194/esd-2020-49 preprint EN cc-by 2020-07-17

Abstract. Earth system models (ESMs) are state-of-the-art climate that allow numerical simulations of the past, present-day, and future climate. To extend our understanding improve change projections, complexity ESMs heavily increased over last decades. As a consequence, amount volume data provided by has considerably. Innovative tools for comprehensive model evaluation analysis required to assess performance these increasingly complex against observations or reanalyses. One is System Model...

10.5194/gmd-16-315-2023 article EN cc-by Geoscientific model development 2023-01-11

Abstract. The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) is a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool designed to improve comprehensive routine evaluation of Models (ESMs) participating in the Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP). It has undergone rapid development since first release 2016 now well-tested that provides end-to-end provenance tracking ensure reproducibility. consists an easy-to-install, well documented Python package providing core functionalities...

10.5194/gmd-2019-291 article EN cc-by 2019-11-26

Abstract. This paper complements a series of now four publications that document the release Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0. It describes new diagnostics on hydrological cycle, extreme events, impact assessment, regional evaluations, and ensemble member selection. The are developed by large community scientists aiming to facilitate evaluation comparison Models (ESMs) which participating in Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP). second this tool aims support ESMs CMIP...

10.5194/gmd-2020-244 preprint EN cc-by 2020-10-09

Abstract. This paper describes the second major release of Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for evaluation Models (ESMs) participating in Coupled Intercomparison Project (CMIP). Compared to version 1.0, released 2016, ESMValTool 2.0 (v2.0) features brand new design, with an improved interface revised preprocessor. It also significantly enhanced part that is described three companion papers. The has been specifically...

10.5194/gmd-2019-226 article EN cc-by 2019-09-20

Abstract. The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool for evaluation analysis of system models (ESMs) is designed to facilitate more comprehensive rapid comparison single or multiple participating in the coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP). ESM results can be compared against observations reanalysis data as well other including predecessor versions same model. updated extended version 2.0 ESMValTool includes several new...

10.5194/gmd-2020-60 preprint EN cc-by 2020-03-18

Abstract Emergent constraints on carbon cycle feedbacks in response to warming and increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentration have previously been identified Earth system models participating the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) Phase 5. Here, we examine whether two of these emergent also hold for CMIP6. The spread sensitivity tropical land uptake an idealized simulation with a 1% per year increase shows only slight decrease CMIP6 (−52 ± 35 GtC/K) compared CMIP5 (−49 40 GtC/K)....

10.1029/2022jg006985 article EN cc-by Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences 2022-11-18
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