Paola Mercogliano

ORCID: 0000-0001-7236-010X
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
  • Climate variability and models
  • Cryospheric studies and observations
  • Landslides and related hazards
  • Flood Risk Assessment and Management
  • Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
  • Hydrology and Drought Analysis
  • Urban Heat Island Mitigation
  • Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
  • Soil and Unsaturated Flow
  • Climate change and permafrost
  • Precipitation Measurement and Analysis
  • Marine and environmental studies
  • Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
  • Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
  • Wind and Air Flow Studies
  • Remote Sensing and Land Use
  • Urban Planning and Valuation
  • Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
  • demographic modeling and climate adaptation
  • Climate change impacts on agriculture
  • Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
  • Climate Change and Health Impacts
  • Remote Sensing and LiDAR Applications
  • Land Use and Ecosystem Services

CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
2016-2025

Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
2024

Cambia
2020-2024

Hebrew University of Jerusalem
2024

Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
2023

Center for Theoretical Physics
2023

Central Maine Community College
2012-2022

Italian Aerospace Research Centre
2007-2020

National Meteorological Service
2019

Impact
2019

Abstract The European CORDEX (EURO-CORDEX) initiative is a large voluntary effort that seeks to advance regional climate and Earth system science in Europe. As part of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) - Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), it shares broader goals providing model evaluation projection framework improving communication with both General Circulation Model (GCM) data user communities. EURO-CORDEX oversees design coordination ongoing ensembles...

10.1007/s10113-020-01606-9 article EN cc-by Regional Environmental Change 2020-04-23

In this study, projected changes in the future climate conditions for Middle East–North Africa domain over 21st century have been investigated. Two simulations with COSMO-CLM model conducted respectively, at a spatial resolution of 0.44° and 0.22°, period 1979–2100, employing IPCC RCP4.5 scenario. Initial boundary derived by global CMCC-CM. The main aim work is to provide regional projections area, widening range data already available, yet higher resolution, useful many applications,...

10.1016/j.accre.2018.01.004 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Advances in Climate Change Research 2018-02-09

Abstract Here we present the first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale horizontal grid spacing over a decade long period. A total 23 run with $$\sim $$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>∼</mml:mo> </mml:math> 3 km, driven by ERA-Interim reanalysis, and performed 22 European research groups are analysed. Six different models (RCMs) represented in ensemble. The compared against available high-resolution precipitation...

10.1007/s00382-021-05708-w article EN cc-by Climate Dynamics 2021-04-09

ABSTRACT This study presents the results of dynamically downscaled climate simulations over Italy produced with COSMO‐CLM model. Three forced by ERA ‐Interim Reanalysis were conducted respectively at a spatial resolution 0.22°, 0.125° and 0.0715° period 1979–2011. The analysed in terms 2‐m temperature precipitation aim assessing model's ability to reproduce these important features Italian climate. validated comparing model output different independent observational datasets. Values show...

10.1002/joc.4379 article EN International Journal of Climatology 2015-05-15

The paper presents a new hourly high-resolution (i.e., at 0.02°, ≃2.2 km) precipitation dataset, labelled as [email protected], obtained by dynamically downscaling ERA5 reanalysis convection permitting scale (CPS) over 20 European cities for the recent past thirty years (1989–2018). activity is performed within framework of Contract implemented Fondazione CMCC to support Sectoral Information System about "Disaster Risk Reduction" (see...

10.1016/j.wace.2022.100407 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Weather and Climate Extremes 2022-01-20

This paper proposes a method to infer the future change in wind-wave climate using reanalysis wind corrected statistically match data from regional model (RCM). The is applied sea surface speed of ERA5 European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. correction determined quantile mapping between and RCM at any given point geographical space. issues that need be addressed better understand apply are discussed. Corrected fields eventually used force spectral wave numerical simulate...

10.3390/w14101590 article EN Water 2022-05-16

Today the most substantial threats facing cities relate to impacts of climate change. Extreme temperature such as heat waves and occurrence Urban Heat Island (UHI) phenomena, present main challenges for urban planning design. Climate deterioration exacerbates already existing weaknesses in social systems, which have been created by changes population increases sprawl. Despite numerous attempts researchers assess risks associated with heat-health nexus areas, no common metrics yet defined...

10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101514 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Urban Climate 2023-03-29

The Adriatic Sea, characterized by unique local features in comparison to the broader Mediterranean stands out as a highly susceptible region climate change. In this context, our study involves focused downscaling approach, concentrating on water cycle. This encompasses integrated modeling at mesoscale, covering atmosphere, hydrology, and marine general circulation. period spans from 1992 2050, considering high emission scenario RCP8.5. We aim evaluating how river release projection affects...

10.3389/fclim.2024.1368413 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Climate 2024-04-29

ABSTRACT This study presents a detailed analysis of the present and expected future extreme climate conditions over Italy through use some indicators. Climate data for this were provided by regional model COSMO‐CLM , using different grid spacing to ascertain real importance higher resolution data, especially such complex topography as Italy. Four simulations carried out at spatial resolutions 0.125° 0.0715°, driven ERA ‐Interim Reanalysis CMCC‐CM global model. We investigated ability...

10.1002/joc.4401 article EN International Journal of Climatology 2015-06-30

It is often assumed that, as a consequence of global warming, reduction snow load on the ground should be expected. In reality, depending local orographic situations that can determine an increase its height, even when average height over surrounding areas reduced. Large loads roofs during winter season 2005–2006 led to 200 roof collapses in Central Europe. To proceed with adaptation European standards for important buildings and infrastructures implications climate change, expected changes...

10.1016/j.crm.2018.03.001 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Climate Risk Management 2018-01-01

There is an ongoing debate in the climate community about benefits of convection-permitting models that explicitly resolve convection and other thermodynamical processes. An increasing number studies show improvements Regional Climate Model (RCM) performances when grid spacing increased to 1-km scale. Up until now, such have revealed confer significant advantages representing orographic regions, producing high-order statistics, predicting events with small temporal spatial scales, convective...

10.3390/atmos12010054 article EN cc-by Atmosphere 2020-12-31

This paper introduces VHR-PRO_IT (Very High-Resolution PROjections for ITaly), an open access hourly climate projection with a resolution of ≃2.2 km (i.e., Convection Permitting Scale) up to 2050, covering the Italian peninsula and some neighbouring areas. is produced within Highlander project ( https://highlanderproject.eu/ ) by dynamically downscaling Italy8km-CM (spatial ≃8 km; output frequency = 6 h; driven CMIP5 GCM CMCC-CM) Regional Climate Model COSMO-CLM under IPCC RCP4.5 RCP8.5...

10.1038/s41597-023-02144-9 article EN cc-by Scientific Data 2023-04-26

High‐resolution climate projections over Israel (about 8 km) have been obtained with the regional model COSMO‐CLM, nested into CORDEX‐MENA simulations at 25 km resolution. This simulation provides high‐resolution spatial variability of total precipitation and intensity. Projections are presented not only in terms average properties, but also using a subset extreme temperature indices from standard Expert Team on Climate Change Detection Indices (ETCCDI) for period 2041–2070 respect to...

10.1002/joc.5714 article EN International Journal of Climatology 2018-08-14

Recently, the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) has released a new generation of reanalysis, acknowledged as ERA5, representing at present most plausible picture current climate. Although ERA5 enhancements, in some cases, its coarse spatial resolution (~31 km) could still discourage direct use precipitation fields. Such gap be faced dynamically downscaling convection permitting scale (resolution &lt; 4 km). On this regard, selection appropriate nesting strategy...

10.3390/atmos12020260 article EN cc-by Atmosphere 2021-02-16

This work presents a new dataset for recent climate developed within the Highlander project by dynamically downscaling ERA5 reanalysis, originally available at ≃31 km horizontal resolution, to ≃2.2 resolution (i.e., convection permitting scale). Dynamical was conducted through COSMO Regional Climate Model (RCM). The temporal of output is hourly (like ERA5). Runs cover whole Italian territory (and neighboring areas according necessary computation boundary) provide very detailed (in terms...

10.3390/data6080088 article EN cc-by Data 2021-08-09

Abstract The increase of frequency and severity extreme weather events due to climate change gives evidence severe challenges faced by infrastructure systems. Among them, the aviation sector is particularly at risk from potential consequences change. Airports are classified as critical infrastructures because they provide fundamental functions sustain societies economic activities. More specifically, Mediterranean airports face risks associated with sea level rise, higher occurrence...

10.1007/s11069-021-05066-0 article EN cc-by Natural Hazards 2021-10-21

Abstract This study presents a comprehensive assessment of dynamical downscaling ERA5 Reanalysis recently performed over Italy through the COSMO-CLM model at convection-permitting scale (0.02°) period 1989–2020. Results are analysed against several independent observational datasets and reanalysis products. The capability to realistically represent climatology for 2 m temperature precipitation is whole peninsula subdomains. Hourly patterns, orography effects, urban climate dynamics also...

10.1007/s00382-023-06803-w article EN cc-by Climate Dynamics 2023-05-06

Abstract Taking advantage of a large ensemble Convection Permitting‐Regional Climate Models on pan‐Alpine domain and an object‐oriented dedicated analysis, this study aims to investigate future changes in high‐impact fall Mediterranean Heavy Precipitation Events at high warming levels. We identify robust multi‐model agreement for increased frequency from central Italy the northern Balkans combined with substantial extension affected areas, dominant influence driving Global projecting...

10.1029/2023gl105143 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Geophysical Research Letters 2024-03-21
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