Alexandra Toimil

ORCID: 0000-0002-2067-872X
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Coastal and Marine Dynamics
  • Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
  • Flood Risk Assessment and Management
  • Coastal and Marine Management
  • Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing
  • Coastal wetland ecosystem dynamics
  • Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
  • Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Applications and Techniques
  • Climate variability and models
  • Aeolian processes and effects
  • Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies
  • Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
  • Cruise Tourism Development and Management
  • Remote Sensing and Land Use
  • Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
  • Land Use and Ecosystem Services
  • Maritime Navigation and Safety
  • demographic modeling and climate adaptation
  • Soil and Land Suitability Analysis
  • Conservation Techniques and Studies
  • Precipitation Measurement and Analysis
  • Maritime and Coastal Archaeology
  • Migration, Aging, and Tourism Studies
  • Underwater Vehicles and Communication Systems

Universidad de Cantabria
2016-2024

Instituto de Física de Cantabria
2016-2024

Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières
2023

Cost-effective coastal flood adaptation requires a realistic valuation of losses, costs and benefits considering the uncertainty future projections limited resources for adaptation. Here we present an approach to quantify protection beaches accounting dynamic interaction storm erosion, long-term shoreline evolution flooding. We apply method in Narrabeen-Collaroy (Australia) different shared socioeconomic pathways, sea-level rise projections, beach conditions. By 2100, results show that...

10.1038/s41467-023-39168-z article EN cc-by Nature Communications 2023-06-12

Abstract Beside climate‐change‐induced sea‐level rise (SLR), land subsidence can strongly amplify coastal risk in flood‐prone areas. Mapping and quantifying contemporary vertical motion (VLM) at continental scales has long been a challenge due to the absence of gridded observational products covering these large domains. Here, we fill this gap by using new European Ground Motion Service (EGMS) assess current state VLM Europe. First, compare InSAR‐based EGMS Ortho (Level 3) with nearby global...

10.1029/2024ef004523 article EN cc-by Earth s Future 2024-08-01

Flooding and erosion are among the most relevant hazards for coastal regions although they linked, their inherent complexity has typically led them to be addressed separately, potentially leading highly uncertain estimates. This paper three aims: (a) present a methodology coupling flood projections with shoreline changes; (b) quantify effects of neglecting flooding on future at case study location; (c) analyse relative importance climate-related uncertainty sources. We use suite statistical,...

10.1016/j.coastaleng.2022.104248 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Coastal Engineering 2022-11-12

Sea-level rise (SLR) is a major concern for coastal hazards such as flooding and erosion in the decades to come. Lately, value of high-end sea-level scenarios (HESs) inform stakeholders with low-uncertainty tolerance has been increasingly recognized. Here, we provide projections SLR-induced sandy shoreline retreats Europe by end 21st century based on conservative Bruun rule. Our HESs rely upper bound RCP8.5 scenario “likely-range” estimates different components provided recent literature....

10.3390/w11122607 article EN Water 2019-12-10

Coastal development and climate change are dramatically increasing the risks of flooding, erosion, extreme weather events. Coral reefs other coastal ecosystems act as natural defenses against hazards, but their degradation increases risk to people property. Environmental degradation, however, has rarely been quantified a driver risk. In Quintana Roo, Mexico, region on Mexican Caribbean coast with an annual tourism economy 10 billion USD, coral constitute barrier flooding from hurricanes....

10.3389/feart.2019.00125 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Earth Science 2019-05-28

Future projections of coastal erosion, which are one the most demanded climate services in areas, mainly developed using top-down approaches. These approaches consist undertaking a sequence steps that include selecting emission or concentration scenarios and models, correcting models bias, applying downscaling methods, implementing erosion models. The information involved this modelling chain cascades across steps, so does related uncertainty, accumulates results. Here, we develop long-term...

10.3389/fmars.2021.683535 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Marine Science 2021-06-24

Here, a methodology to obtain ensemble shoreline change projections at regional scale by combining multi-model of wave climate and water levels the reduced-complexity evolution model in Alvarez-Cuesta et al. (2021) is presented. In order account for uncertainty, dynamically downscaled bias corrected projected waves storm surge series from five different combinations global models three potential mean sea-level rise (SLR) trajectories two representative concentration pathways, are used force...

10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.103985 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Coastal Engineering 2021-08-27

Abstract. Sea level rise has major impacts in Europe which vary from place to and time depending on the source of impacts. Flooding, erosion saltwater intrusion lead via different pathways various consequences coastal regions across Europe. Flooding leads overflow, overtopping breaching damage assets, environment people. Erosion cliff failure along a pathway also affects ecosystems surface waters salinizes existing fresh water resources diminishing availability causing salt crops health...

10.5194/sp-2023-38 preprint EN cc-by 2023-12-18

Abstract Shoreline predictions are essential for coastal management. In this era of increasing amounts data from different sources, it is imperative to use observations ensure the reliability shoreline forecasts. Data assimilation has emerged as a powerful tool bridge gap between episodic and imprecise spatiotemporal incomplete mathematical equations describing physics dynamics. This research seeks maximize potential by assessing effectiveness algorithms considering observational...

10.1088/1748-9326/ad3143 article EN cc-by Environmental Research Letters 2024-03-15

Analyzing extreme events and determining their impacts in terms of coastal flooding are crucial for understanding preventing potential risks caused by such hazards. These include damage to infrastructure the built environment on population. Identifying key components total water level (TWL) reaching coast treating them properly model flood propagation over land is a challenge whose complexity increases as spatial scale increases. Although TWL calculation modeling at large scales have been...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17323 preprint EN 2025-03-15

Coastal flooding, both current and future, is a significant concern for Europe due to sea level rise, storms, the exposure of critical infrastructure in low-lying coastal zones. To support adaptation efforts, it essential have information on future risks, including people at risks potential economic damages. One objectives CoCliCo project address this need by providing new assessments using state art hazard, vulnerability datasets information, dynamic flood hazard assessment maps...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-16071 preprint EN 2025-03-15

Climate change and coastal development have pushed European zones to a critical threshold, making urgent adaptation decisions essential. services can support decision makers addressing this challenge by delivering science-based information about present days future risks due marine flooding sea-level rise. The funded CoCliCo project demonstrates the feasibility of pre-operational, broad-scale climate service considering extreme events aimed at supporting This core service, developed through...

10.5194/oos2025-1000 preprint EN 2025-03-25

Beaches and other ecosystems such as dune systems, wetlands, mangroves, coral reefs provide protection services against flooding that can be valuable hard engineered structures. have the particularity of being more dynamic than mangroves they adapt quickly to changes in coastal dynamics. Therefore, benefits are strongly linked this dynamism their changing shape at different scales. This brings additional complexity flood modelling it shaped by shoreline often neglected (Toimil et al.,...

10.9753/icce.v38.management.186 article EN Coastal Engineering Proceedings 2025-05-29

Coastal erosion and flooding are the most relevant hazards in coastal areas they closely interconnected. While waves water levels main drivers of change, morphodynamics also play an important role on wave hydrodynamics, sediment transport. With increasing threats imposed by climate change at world’s coasts, robust projections flood risk essential, to this end, morphodynamic feedback needs be considered. However, studies scale continue analyse separately, as their coupling is not easy. This...

10.9753/icce.v38.management.187 article EN Coastal Engineering Proceedings 2025-05-29

Analyzing extreme events and determining their impacts in terms of coastal flooding are crucial for understanding preventing potential risks caused by such hazards. Although TWL calculation flood modelling at large scales have been addressed the literature before, there is still much room improvement if adaptation policies to be developed, as they require based on most accurate least uncertain risk analysis possible. As modeling itself, highest resolution digital elevation model (DEM)...

10.9753/icce.v38.management.202 article EN Coastal Engineering Proceedings 2025-05-29

Adaptation requires planning strategies that consider the combined effect of climatic and non-climatic drivers, which are deeply uncertain. This uncertainty arises from many sources, cascades accumulates in risk estimates. A prominent trend to incorporate this adaptation is through adaptive approaches such as dynamic policy pathways (DAPP). We present a quantitative DAPP application for coastal erosion management increase its utilisation field. adopt an approach objectives actions have...

10.1016/j.crm.2021.100342 article EN cc-by Climate Risk Management 2021-01-01
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