A5075823280- Agricultural Innovations and Practices
- Agricultural risk and resilience
- Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
- Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare
- Energy and Environment Impacts
- Agriculture and Rural Development Research
- Income, Poverty, and Inequality
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Innovation and Socioeconomic Development
- Water resources management and optimization
- Agriculture, Land Use, Rural Development
- Taxation and Compliance Studies
- COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
- Russia and Soviet political economy
- Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Urban and Rural Development Challenges
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Economic Growth and Productivity
- Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
- International Development and Aid
- Natural Resources and Economic Development
- Global trade and economics
- Environmental and Biological Research in Conflict Zones
- Economic Growth and Development
International Food Policy Research Institute
2015-2024
Northwest Eye Surgeons
2022
World Bank
2021
Global Strategy Group
2020
University of Oxford
2019
International Rice Research Institute
2019
United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research
2008-2015
NationsUniversity
2010-2015
United Nations
2010-2015
University of Copenhagen
2008-2012
The Russia-Ukraine war's impact on food, fuel, and fertilizer prices is a major concern for global poverty food insecurity. Despite numerous studies editorials the risks challenges of crisis, there little quantitative analysis its consequences developing countries. We use national economywide models to measure near-term impacts crisis agrifood systems, poverty, insecurity in 19 wide variations across countries, results confirm adverse with total 27.2 22.3 million more people pushed into...
South Africa is considering introducing a carbon tax to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Following discussion of the motivations for tax, we evaluate potential impacts using dynamic economywide model linked an energy sector including detailed evaluation border adjustments. Results indicate that phased-in US$30 per ton CO2 can achieve national emissions reductions targets set 2025. Relative baseline with free disposal CO2, constant world prices and no change in trading partner behavior,...
ABSTRACT This paper assesses the implications of large-scale investments in biofuels for growth and income distribution. We find that investment enhances poverty reduction despite some displacement food crops by biofuels. Overall, biofuel trajectory analyzed increases Mozambique's annual economic 0.6 percentage points reduces incidence about 6 over a 12-year phase-in period. Benefits depend on production technology. An outgrower approach to producing is more pro-poor, due greater use...
Abstract Rising world prices for fuel and food represent a negative terms‐of‐trade shock Mozambique. The impacts of these price rises are analyzed using various approaches. Detailed data show that the increases being transmitted to domestic prices. Short‐run net benefit ratio analysis indicates urban households in southern region more vulnerable increases. Rural households, particularly North Center, often from seller position. Longer‐term computable general equilibrium (CGE) model...
We estimate the impact of Malawi's Farm Input Subsidy Program using an economy‐wide approach. This approach yields benefit‐cost ratios about 60% higher than existing partial equilibrium studies, a result our accounting for indirect benefits. Fertilizer response rates remain determining parameter ratio levels. Even with lower‐end rates, program is pro‐poor and generates double‐dividends through more drought‐resilient yields. Overall, macro‐economically significant programs, strongly...
ABSTRACT Extreme weather events such as droughts and floods have potentially damaging implications for developing countries. Previous studies estimated economic losses during hypothetical or single historical events, relied on production data rather than explicitly modeling climate. However, effective mitigation strategies require knowledge of the full distribution their isolated effects outcomes. We combine stochastic hydrometeorological crop-loss models with a regionalized computable...
Africa's development debate is often cast as "agriculture versus non-agriculture", with agriculture's proponents arguing that agricultural growth more effective at reducing poverty. This "dual economy" perspective overlooks the heterogeneity within and synergies between these two broad sectors. Recent studies decompose agriculture into subsectors find led by smallholder farmers even poverty than larger-scale estate farms. In contrast, few estimate subsectoral growth–poverty linkages for...
Globally, countries have resorted to social distancing, travel restrictions and economic lockdowns reduce transmission of COVID-19. The socioeconomic costs these blunt measures are expected be high, especially in sub-Saharan Africa where many live hand-to-mouth lack safety nets. Social Accounting Matrix multiplier model results show that Ghana's urban lockdown, although force for only three weeks April 2020, has likely caused GDP fall by 27.9% during period, while an additional 3.8 million...
Abstract South Africa's high unemployment and small informal economy has been attributed to barriers entry in labour markets. We develop a general equilibrium model based on typology of activities that captures formal/informal linkages product Simulations reveal trade liberalisation increases formal employment, hurts producers, favours traders may explain the dominance instead producers. Wage subsidies also raise employment but further heighten competition for Cash transfers favour albeit...
Abstract Due to their reliance on rain‐fed agriculture, both as a source of income and consumption, many low‐income countries are considered be the most vulnerable climate change. Here, we estimate impact change food security in Tanzania. Representative projections used calibrated crop models predict yield changes for 110 districts These results turn imposed highly disaggregated, recursive dynamic economy‐wide model We find that, relative no‐climate‐change baseline considering domestic...
Abstract Economy‐wide and hydrological‐crop models are combined to assess the economic impacts of historical climate variability future anthropogenic change in Zambia. Accounting for uncertainty, results indicate that, on average, current reduces gross domestic product by 4% over a 10‐year period pulls 2% population below poverty line. Socioeconomic much larger during major drought years, thus underscoring importance extreme weather events determining damages. Climate scenarios draw...
Mozambique, like many African countries, is already highly susceptible to climate variability and extreme weather events. Climate change threatens heighten this vulnerability. In order evaluate potential impacts adaptation options for we develop an integrated modeling framework that translates atmospheric changes from general circulation model projections into biophysical outcomes via detailed hydrologic, crop, hydropower infrastructure models. These sector models simulate a historical...
SUMMARY The concept of Green Growth implies that a wide range developmental objectives, such as job creation, economic prosperity and poverty alleviation, can be easily reconciled with environmental sustainability. This article, however, argues rather than being win–win, is similar to most types policy reforms advocate the acceptance short‐term adjustment costs in expectation long‐term gains. In particular, policies often encourage developing countries redesign their national strategies ways...