A5071798129- Agricultural Economics and Policy
- Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Agricultural Innovations and Practices
- Land Rights and Reforms
- Water resources management and optimization
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Agricultural risk and resilience
- Agriculture and Rural Development Research
- Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Agriculture, Land Use, Rural Development
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Oil Palm Production and Sustainability
- Sustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis
- Urban Agriculture and Sustainability
- Economic and Environmental Valuation
- Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology
- Global trade and economics
- International Development and Aid
- Forest Management and Policy
- Research Data Management Practices
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
2018-2024
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
2023-2024
Wageningen University & Research
2012-2016
Agricultural & Applied Economics Association
2015
Plant-based animal product alternatives are increasingly promoted to achieve more sustainable diets. Here, we use a global economic land model assess the food system-wide impacts of dietary shift towards these alternatives. We find substantial reduction in environmental by 2050 if globally 50% main products (pork, chicken, beef and milk) substituted-net forest natural is almost fully halted agriculture GHG emissions decline 31% compared 2020. If spared agricultural within ecosystems restored...
Abstract Tipping points have become a key concept in research on climate change, indicating of abrupt transition biophysical systems as well transformative changes adaptation and mitigation strategies. However, the potential existence tipping socio-economic has remained underexplored, whereas they might be highly policy relevant. This paper describes characteristics change induced (SETPs) to guide future SETPS inform policy. We review existing literature create point typology derive...
Abstract While soybeans are among the most consumed crops in world, of its production lies US, Brazil, and Argentina. The concentration soybean growing regions Americas renders supply chain vulnerable to regional disruptions. In 2012, anomalous hot dry conditions occurring simultaneously these led low yields, which drove global prices all‐time records. this study, we explore climate change impacts on simultaneous extreme crop failures as one from 2012. We develop a hybrid model, coupling...
Quote: "What I hear, forget. What see, remember. do, understand." (Xunzi, ∼300 BCE). Modelling complex interactions involving climatic features, socio-economic vulnerability or responses, and long impact transmissions is associated with substantial uncertainty. Physical climate storylines are proposed as an approach to explore transmission pathways possible alternative unfoldings of event cascades under future conditions. These particularly useful for risk assessment domains, including...
As Africa is facing multiple challenges related to food security, frameworks integrating production and availability are urgent for policymaking. Attention should be given not only gradual socio-economic climatic changes but also their temporal variability. Here we present an integrated framework that allows one assess the impacts of development, climate change anomalies. We apply this rice consumption in whereby explicitly account continent's dependency on imported rice. show development...
Abstract. The integrated assessment model (IAM) MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM developed by IIASA is widely used to analyze global change and socioeconomic development scenarios within energy land systems across different scales. However, date, the representation of impacts from climate effects water in IAM has been limited. We present a new nexus module for that improves enables analysis interactions between population, economic growth, energy, land, resources dynamic system. uses spatially resolved...
Abstract. The Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM developed by IIASA is widely used to analyse global change and socioeconomic development scenarios within the energy land systems across different scales. However, until now, representation of impacts from climate water IAM has been limited. We present a new nexus module for that improves enables analysis interactions between population, economic growth, energy, land, resources in dynamic system. uses spatially resolved retain...
Recently, consumers' awareness regarding food production has increased, leading to a growing focus on shorter supply chains and regional or local systems. In the livestock sector, these developments are closely related regionalization of feed production. At same time, low self-sufficiency rate in protein is being reported for many European countries. this paper, we analyze market impacts resulting from complete switch regionally produced sector. We simulate shortening using large-scale...
AbstractAgricultural trade was an important driver of habitat and biodiversity loss in the recent decades (Chaudhary & Kastner 2016). Yet, it might also have increased land use efficiency net impacts are heterogeneous across regions, commodities spatial scales (Kastner et al. 2021, Roux 2021). Trade greening is identified as a key leverage point to reverse global declines (Chan 2020), future could be deeply affected by food system sustainability transition needed reach ambitious...
Abstract The rapid urbanization in Africa profoundly affects local food and ecological systems. According to earlier research, may cause production biodiversity losses as agricultural or natural lands are absorbed by expanding cities. Land-use displacement effects buffer lead additional but often overlooked. Moreover, impacts of dietary changes associated with rarely considered. To address this, we combined spatially explicit projections African urban area expansion observed rice consumption...
Journal Article The dynamics of dairy land use change with respect to the milk quota regime Get access Esther Boere, Boere * †Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University, Netherlands‡LEI, UR, Hague, Netherlands *Corresponding author: E-mail: esther.boere@wur.nl, esther.boere@gmail.com Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Jack Peerlings, Peerlings Stijn Reinhard, Reinhard Wim Heijman European Review Agricultural Economics, Volume...
Achieving climate neutrality in the European Union (EU) by 2050 will require substantial efforts across all economic sectors, including agriculture. At same time, an ambitious unilateral EU agricultural mitigation policy is likely to have adverse effects on sector and may limited efficiency at global scale due emission leakage non-EU regions. To analyse competitiveness of EU's potential non-CO2 conditional outside EU, we apply three models. We find that line with needed achieve 1.5 °C target...
<title>Abstract</title> The rapid urbanization in Africa profoundly affects local food and ecological systems. According to earlier research, may cause production biodiversity losses as agricultural or natural lands are absorbed by expanding cities. Although land use displacement effects potentially buffer lead additional losses, they often overlooked. Moreover, of urbanization-induced dietary changes rarely considered. To address this, we combined spatially-explicit projections African...
The livestock system in Europe relies on a complex holistic equilibrium that is the outcome of an interplay demand, market, crop production, land use, water availability, and other factors. When modeling future scenarios consumption by systems, most suitable tools result from interconnectivity growth models, economic climate models. We integrated Environmental Policy Integrated Climate model (EPIC), animal-level (RUMINANT), (Global Biosphere Management Model, GLOBIOM), EURO-CORDEX regression...
Ecosystem restoration is inherently a complex activity with inevitable tradeoffs in environmental and societal outcomes. These can potentially be large when policies practices are focused on single outcomes versus joint achievement of multiple Few studies have assessed the Nature’s Contributions to People (NCP) distributional equity NCP from forest strategies. Here, we optimized defined area across India systematic conservation planning assess between three NCP: i) climate change mitigation...
In this paper, we analyze the potential impact on producers’ land-use decisions in moving from support payments based entitlements to a single farm payment (SFP). Further, then consider with greening component as part of 2013 CAP reform. Using data for representative crop farms different sizes Netherlands, develop farm-level allocation model that is calibrated using positive mathematical programming. We use two-step calibration method determine nonlinear cost function and farm-specific risk...
Stochastic agro-economic model GLOBIOM is used to demonstrate how best design and evaluate the CAP’s financial structural measures, both individually jointly, in face of inherent uncertainty risk. The accounts for plausible shocks simultaneously derives measures that are robust against all shock scenarios; it can thus help avoid irreversibility sunk costs occur unexpected scenarios.To allow adequate agricultural production, we show distribution CAP funds needs account exposure risks,...