- COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- Consumer Attitudes and Food Labeling
- Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Global Health Care Issues
- Obesity, Physical Activity, Diet
- Health disparities and outcomes
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Migration and Labor Dynamics
- Influenza Virus Research Studies
- COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
- Employment and Welfare Studies
- Education Systems and Policy
- SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Healthcare Policy and Management
- Migration, Health and Trauma
- COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Public Health and Nutrition
The University of Melbourne
2020-2025
University of Otago
2021
Modelling suggests that elimination could have been achieved if Victoria had gone into stage 4 lockdown immediately from 9 July is the unlucky state in a lucky country. Australian states and territories, other than New South Wales, of community transmission sudden acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2): 28 days no locally acquired cases where source unknown; twice maximum incubation period. The situation NSW mixed. On one hand, ongoing case notifications 10–20 per day month to...
Background Front-of-pack nutrition labelling (FoPL) of packaged foods can promote healthier diets. Australia and New Zealand (NZ) adopted the voluntary Health Star Rating (HSR) scheme in 2014. We studied impact adoption HSR on food reformulation relative to unlabelled examined differential impacts for more-versus-less healthy foods. Methods findings Annual information panel data were collected nonseasonal sold major supermarkets Auckland from 2013 2019 Sydney 2014 2018. The analysis sample...
<h3>Importance</h3> Countries have varied enormously in how they responded to the COVID-19 pandemic, ranging from elimination strategies (eg, Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan) tight suppression (not aiming for but rather keep infection rates low [eg, South Korea]) loose Europe, United States) virtually unmitigated Brazil, India). Weighing best option, based on health and economic consequences due lockdowns, is necessary. <h3>Objective</h3> To determine optimal policy response, using a net...
Front-of-pack labelling (FoPL) aims to promote healthier diets by altering consumer food purchasing behaviour. We quantify the impact of voluntary Health Star Rating (HSR) FoPL adopted New Zealand (NZ) in 2014, on (i) quantity foods purchased HSR scores and groups (ii) quantities different nutrients purchased. used Nielsen HomeScan household panel data over 2013-2019, linked Nutritrack packaged composition data. Fixed effects analyses were estimate association with product nutrient...
Abstract Importance Determining the best policy on social restrictions and lockdowns for COVID-19 pandemic is challenging. Objective To determine optimal response ranging from aggressive moderate elimination, tight suppression (aiming 1 to 5 cases per million day) loose (5 25 day). Design Two simulation models in series: an agent-based model estimate daily SARS-CoV-2 infection rates time four stages of restrictions; a proportional multistate lifetable long-run health impacts (health adjusted...
Background Reducing disease can maintain personal individual income and improve societal economic productivity. However, estimates of loss for multiple diseases simultaneously with thorough adjustment confounding are lacking, to our knowledge. We estimate individual-level 40 conditions by phase diagnosis, the total at population level (a function how common is if one has disease). Methods findings used linked health tax data New Zealand as a high-income country case study, from 2006 2007...
Background: Countries can decide between one of three COVID-19 control strategies: 1) elimination (e.g., some island countries); 2) suppression, to low infection rates; 3) or mitigation, as per pandemic influenza strategies with ensuing herd immunity. This paper quantifies the health (direct impact, and indirect through unemployment onto self-harm road traffic crash) cost (health system societal) consequences for these across Australia, New Zealand (NZ) Sweden. Methods: We used proportional...
Simulation models can be used to quantify the projected health impact of interventions. Quantifying heterogeneity in these impacts, for example by socioeconomic status, is important understand impacts on inequalities. We aim disaggregate one type Markov macro-simulation model, proportional multistate lifetable, ensuring that under business-as-usual (BAU) sum deaths across disaggregated strata each time step returns same as initial non-disaggregated model. then demonstrate application...
Abstract Background and Aims The New South Wales (NSW) COVID-19 outbreak is at 478 daily cases on August 16, 2021. Our aims were to: 1) estimate the time required to reach ≤5 per day under three lockdown strengths (weak, moderate, strong), four vaccination rollouts: (a) original plan, (b) prioritizing essential workers, (c) b plus rapid of 25% <60-year-olds with AstraZeneca (AZ25), (d) 50% (AZ50). 2) number cases, hospitalizations, deaths in 100 days after 1/August for 12 scenarios....
Abstract This study examines how arrival cohort and duration of time in Australia affect the long-term mental health trajectories Asian immigrants relative to native-born individuals Australia. We also examine these relationships differ by gender. Using nationally representative panel data from The Household, Income Labour Dynamics Survey for 2002–2018, we find limited evidence that experience declining over Rather, is an important predictor health, specifically immigrant women recent...
Abstract BackgroundSimulation models can be used to quantify the projected health impact of interventions. Quantifying heterogeneity in these impacts, for example by socioeconomic status, is important understand impacts on inequalities.We aim disaggregate one type Markov macro-simulation model, proportional multistate lifetable, ensuring that under business-as-usual (BAU) sum deaths across disaggregated strata each time step returns same as initial non-disaggregated model. We then...
Abstract Background Front-of-pack nutrition labelling (FoPL) of packaged foods can promote healthier diets. Australia & New Zealand (NZ) adopted the voluntary Health Star Rating (HSR) scheme in 2014. We studied impact adoption HSR on food reformulation overall, and for more- versus less-healthy foods. Methods Annual information panel data was collected non-seasonal sold major supermarkets Auckland from 2013-19, Sydney 2014-18. used difference-in-differences to estimate associated with...
Abstract Background Simulation models can be used to quantify the projected health impact of interventions. Quantifying heterogeneity in these impacts, for example by socioeconomic status, is important understand impacts on inequalities. We aim disaggregate one type Markov macro-simulation model, proportional multistate lifetable, ensuring that under business-as-usual (BAU) sum deaths across disaggregated strata each time step returns same as initial non-disaggregated model. then demonstrate...