Guillermo Rosas

ORCID: 0000-0001-9166-3296
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Electoral Systems and Political Participation
  • Politics and Society in Latin America
  • Social Policy and Reform Studies
  • Political Influence and Corporate Strategies
  • Judicial and Constitutional Studies
  • Corruption and Economic Development
  • Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
  • Religious and Theological Studies
  • Theology and Canon Law Studies
  • Global Financial Crisis and Policies
  • International Development and Aid
  • Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
  • Policy Transfer and Learning
  • Media Influence and Politics
  • Global trade and economics
  • Local Government Finance and Decentralization
  • Social Media and Politics
  • Political Conflict and Governance
  • Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
  • Global Financial Regulation and Crises
  • Housing, Finance, and Neoliberalism
  • Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance
  • Employment and Welfare Studies
  • COVID-19 and Mental Health
  • Economic Policies and Impacts

Washington University in St. Louis
2015-2025

Universidad Católica de la Santísima Concepción
2023

Alberto Hurtado University
2021

Pedagogical and Technological University of Colombia
2021

New York Proton Center
2020

New York University Press
2020

Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
2007-2018

University of Washington
2007

Duke University
2005

In this article we explore the relationship between investments of multinational corporations (foreign direct investment) and income inequality in Mexico. We argue that Mexico's liberalization foreign investment (FDI) inflows 1990s provides a natural experiment to test how FDI affects middle-income country. use an instrumental variables approach as our identification strategy mitigate problems endogeneity omitted variable bias. empirical determinants changes from 1990 2000, find increased...

10.1017/s0020818307070178 article EN International Organization 2007-07-01

Political intervention into markets can take a nearly endless number of forms. During the latter part twentieth century, there was widely shared sense that governments should decrease their role in economy. Still, were important variations this trend. In response to onerous banking crises, countries chose policies varied dramatically between rescuing insolvent banks (Bailout) and enforcing bank closures (Bagehot). Bailouts are often portrayed as regressive wealth transfers from taxpayers...

10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00177.x article EN American Journal of Political Science 2005-12-20

Are subnational political elites, such as governors, capable of affecting the voting behavior national representatives even in face high legislative discipline? We address this question by estimating exogenous causal effect gubernatorial influence on legislators Mexico, where constitutional provisions guarantee that survival times governors and are fixed known ex ante we can thus know precisely which will leave congress before their state governor's term has expired. posit be more willing to...

10.1017/s0022381611000326 article EN The Journal of Politics 2011-04-01

Are legislative party systems in Latin America organized along ideological lines? This article presents a cross-country analysis of legislators’ positions on variety issues, such as government intervention the economy, value democratic competition, attitudes toward cultural minorities, and views international openness. The study is based discriminant data from 1997 survey legislators 12 countries. purpose to explore whether parties region are ideologically if so, understand substance...

10.1177/0010414004274386 article EN Comparative Political Studies 2005-07-25

Little is known about the political repercussions of banking crises despite extensive literature on link between economic performance and outcomes. We develop a theory how clarity responsibility affects incumbent party survival patterns in 89 democracies 1975 2005. Our results are robust to modeling strategies that include hazard models with shared frailties account for country-specific factors affect survival. find globalization weakens accountability politicians voters. Incumbents...

10.1177/0010414013488559 article EN Comparative Political Studies 2013-05-29

The COVID-19 pandemic revealed disparities in policy responses Latin America. We examined the association between trust president and preventive behaviors Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico. used data from Collaborative Response Survey by McDonnell Academy at Washington University St. Louis (United States), September 2020 to March 2021. Nonprobabilistic sampling included adult citizens four countries. Multivariate negative binomial regression models were applied. study 8,125 participants, with...

10.1590/0102-311xen023824 article EN cc-by Cadernos de Saúde Pública 2025-01-01

Roll-call votes are widely employed to infer the ideological proclivities of legislators. However, many roll-call matrices characterized by high levels nonresponse. Under circumstances, nonresponse cannot be assumed ignorable. We examine consequences violating ignorability assumption that underlies current methods analysis. present a basic estimation framework model and vote choice concurrently, build captures logic competing principals accounts in legislatures, illustrate payoff addressing...

10.1111/ajps.12148 article EN American Journal of Political Science 2014-08-22

Do politicians benefit electorally from connections to banks? Recent research illuminates how banks political connections, yet we do not know much about the impact of bank on a politician's reelection chances. We consider German system publicly owned local savings assess whether who sit boards are likelier win for their parties. Based data 3,214 mayoral elections and 182 between 2006 2015, find that mayors with board seat in have higher odds winning than without seat. address concerns...

10.1086/704435 article EN The Journal of Politics 2019-08-16

Tools dedicated to inferring the ideological leanings of legislators from observed votes—techniques such as NOMINATE (Poole and Rosenthal 1997) or item‐response‐theory model Clinton, Jackman, Rivers (2004)—rest on assumption that political process generates abstentions is ignorable, an not always easy justify. We extended analyze abstention voting processes simultaneously in situations where are suspected be nonrandom. applied this expanded two assemblies existing literature gives reason...

10.3162/036298008786403088 article EN Legislative Studies Quarterly 2008-11-01

In Leachman et al. (2005) we use the multicointegration approach to test for sustainable fiscal budgeting processes in a stochastic setting 15 industrialized countries. this paper, extend analysis order rank these same countries as well an additional three, according degree which their budget are sustainable. Rankings related theories regarding political economy of deficits. Evidence clearly indicates that performance is better where institutions strong. Additionally, find conjunction with...

10.1111/j.1468-0343.2007.00320.x article EN Economics and Politics 2007-09-14

Abstract This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of alterations in self-perceived mental health during COVID-19 pandemic and their associated factors four Latin American countries. is a cross-sectional based on data collected from adults 2021 through Collaborative Response Survey by MacDonnell Academy at Washington University St. Louis (United States). The sample was composed 8,125 individuals Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, Chile. A generalized linear model for binary outcome variable with...

10.1590/0102-311xen157723 article EN cc-by Cadernos de Saúde Pública 2024-01-01

Do democratic governments and authoritarian regimes respond to banking crises in the same way? Banking threaten stability growth of economies around world. In response, politicians restore banks solvency by redistributing losses from bank shareholders depositors taxpayers. Whereas some stay close prescriptions espoused Sir Walter Bagehot 19th century that limit costs shouldered taxpayers, others engage generous bailouts at great cost society. this comparative analysis late 20th-century...

10.5860/choice.47-4531 article EN Choice Reviews Online 2010-04-01

Abstract Can autonomous banking regulatory agencies reduce the odds that a country will suffer crippling crisis? We investigate impact charged with regulation and prudential supervision can have on financial stability in sector. argue potential benefits of autonomy are hard to realise because regulators face incentives shirk their mandate secure stability. These strongest political systems high numbers veto players, where agency is difficult undo even if derelict promoting sector test an...

10.1111/1475-6765.12059 article EN European Journal of Political Research 2014-07-11

Using multicointegration methodology, we develop criteria for testing sustainability of fiscal budgeting processes across all states nature. Criteria are derived from the optimal control literature where levels and rates change a system variables determinants policy response. The appropriate response mechanisms outlined linked to methodology. We then test government spending revenue systems 15 industrialized countries presence such mechanisms. find that only Norway United Kingdom exhibit...

10.1093/ei/cbi031 article EN Economic Inquiry 2005-04-01

We consider the behavior of an incumbent that can deploy local public goods and private to buy votes, is unable verify vote choice but capable monitoring voter turnout, a common scenario in secret-ballot polities. As advanced by recent literature, ability monitor turnout rather than implies politicians should use targetable mobilize voters. However, also non-excludable goods, which have low mobilization potential because free-rider incentives. argue vote-buying reserve for loyal...

10.1177/0951629813511549 article EN Journal of Theoretical Politics 2013-12-27

10.1016/j.electstud.2018.08.011 article EN Electoral Studies 2018-08-30
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